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Maykop vs Zarya Lugansk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maykop host Zarya Lugansk in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Maykop at 1.35 goals for, 1.1 against; Zarya Lugansk at 1.4 for, 1.44 against. Head-to-head, Maykop have won 0 to Zarya Lugansk's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.19 - 1.69) back Maykop to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Maykop
15%
Draws
45%
Zarya Lugansk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zarya Lugansk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maykop lately — more wins on the board than Zarya Lugansk.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Maykop Clean Sheet 13%
Zarya Lugansk Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maykop Zarya Lugansk
Matches Played 31 25
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.35 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Zarya Lugansk vs Maykop
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maykop 31 / 100
Zarya Lugansk 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maykop Zarya Lugansk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zarya Lugansk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maykop found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Zarya Lugansk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 25 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Maykop stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maykop VS Zarya Lugansk
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Maykop

(Home)
03 Oct
Maykop
4 : 0
Izberbash
27 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
3 : 0
Maykop
19 Sept
Maykop
2 : 1
Spartak Nalchik
12 Sept
Nart Cherkessk
0 : 1
Maykop
09 Sept
Maykop
1 : 2
Yenisey
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Zarya Lugansk

(Away)
03 Oct
FC Sevastopol
2 : 0
Zarya Lugansk
19 Sept
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
1 : 5
Zarya Lugansk
12 Sept
Rostov 2
0 : 5
Zarya Lugansk
05 Sept
Zarya Lugansk
1 : 1
Shahter Taganrog
29 Aug
Zarya Lugansk
4 : 0
Astrakhan
Page 1 of 5