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Maynooth University vs Gorey Rangers

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Greene L.
55' Event
Brennan P.
72' Event
Byrne-Murphy C.

AI Match Summary

Gorey Rangers in this FAI Cup 2024 tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Maynooth University
15%
Draws
53%
Gorey Rangers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gorey Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Maynooth University have won more games recently than Gorey Rangers.
  • Model gives Gorey Rangers a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Maynooth University have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gorey Rangers, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 71%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Maynooth University Clean Sheet 11%
Gorey Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maynooth University Gorey Rangers
Matches Played 12 3
Wins 6 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 6 2
Goals Scored 1.83 1.67
Goals Conceded 2.17 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 1.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2024 FAI Cup
Maynooth University vs Gorey Rangers
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maynooth University Compare

Top Goalscorer Warfield C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.72
Avg xA / game 1.11

Gorey Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Byrne-Murphy C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Greene L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.61
Avg xA / game 0.98

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maynooth University 18 / 100
Gorey Rangers 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maynooth University Gorey Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gorey Rangers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gorey Rangers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 3 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Maynooth University found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (12 games).

Maynooth University went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maynooth University VS Gorey Rangers
2.13 Goals Scored 1.67
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.33
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Maynooth University

(Home)
18 May
Maynooth University
1 : 4
Gorey Rangers
22 Jan
Maynooth University
2 : 3
Athlone
27 Aug
Maynooth University
0 : 3
Treaty United
29 Jul
Maynooth University
2 : 1
Villa FC
17 Sept
Bohemians
4 : 0
Maynooth University
Page 1 of 3

Gorey Rangers

(Away)
21 Jul
Gorey Rangers
0 : 4
UC Dublin
18 May
Maynooth University
1 : 4
Gorey Rangers
22 Jul
Gorey Rangers
1 : 2
Rockmount

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Sligo Rovers -
TBD -
College Corinthians 4
Cobh Wanderers 5
Maynooth University 1
Gorey Rangers 4
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Cobh Ramblers -
TBD -
TBD -
Kerry -
Bohemians -
TBD -
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
Cork City -
TBD -
TBD -
Finn Harps -
Derry City -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Patricks -
Bray -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Galway United -
TBD -
TBD -
Longford -
Waterford -
TBD -
Cockhill 7
Ayrfield United 1
Athlone -
TBD -
TBD -
Ringmahon Rangers -
Drogheda -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundalk -
Wilton United 1
Glebe North 0
TBD -
Carrigaline Utd -
Ballyfermot 3
Rockmount 0
TBD -
Leeds Cork -
Wayside Celtic 2
Collinstown 1
TBD -
Wexford -
Treaty United -
TBD -
TBD -
Kilbarrack Utd -
Pike Rovers 2
Villa FC 1
Midleton 3
St Francis 0
1/16-finals
Sligo Rovers 3
Cobh Wanderers 0
Gorey Rangers 0
UC Dublin 4
Cobh Ramblers 0
Kerry 2
Bohemians 1
Shamrock Rovers 0
Cork City 1
Finn Harps 0
Derry City 3
St. Patricks 0
Bray 0
Shelbourne 1
Galway United 6
Longford 0
Waterford 2
Cockhill 1
Athlone 1
Ringmahon Rangers 0
Drogheda 2
Dundalk 1
Wilton United 2
Carrigaline Utd 1
Ballyfermot 3
Leeds Cork 1
Wayside Celtic 1
Wexford 3
Treaty United 1
Kilbarrack Utd 0
Pike Rovers 3
Midleton 1
1/8-finals
Sligo Rovers 0
UC Dublin 2
Kerry 2
Bohemians 3
Cork City 0
Derry City 1
Shelbourne 2
Galway United 1
Waterford 2
Athlone 3
Drogheda 9
Wilton United 0
Ballyfermot 0
Wexford 3
Treaty United 7
Pike Rovers 0
Quarter-finals
UC Dublin 0
Bohemians 4
Derry City 2
Shelbourne 0
Athlone 1
Drogheda 4
Wexford 4
Treaty United 1
Semi-finals
Bohemians 0
Derry City 2
Drogheda 3
Wexford 2
Final
Derry City 0
Drogheda 2