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Mazagao vs Cristal AP

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amapaense 2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mazagao play Cristal AP in the Campeonato Amapaense 2008. Mazagao are favorites here. Recently, Mazagao averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Cristal AP averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.91 conceded. In past meetings, Mazagao won 1, Cristal AP won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 4, 2011 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Mazagao and 1.81 for Cristal AP. This points to a Mazagao double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Mazagao
15%
Draws
26%
Cristal AP
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mazagao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Mazagao picked up more points recently compared to Cristal AP.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Mazagao Clean Sheet 11%
Cristal AP Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazagao Cristal AP
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 15 9
Draws 6 3
Losses 10 23
Goals Scored 1.52 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2011 Amapaense
Cristal AP vs Mazagao
0:2
May 31, 2008 Amapaense
Mazagao vs Cristal AP
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazagao 55 / 100
Cristal AP 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazagao Cristal AP

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mazagao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Mazagao & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.6%
1.96
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mazagao attacking → ← attacking Cristal AP

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mazagao scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Cristal AP let in goals in 80% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Mazagao went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Cristal AP lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 30
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Trem953122:918
2SAO Jose944119:916
3Mazagao934214:1313
4Cristal AP925210:811
5Ypiranga AP92529:811
6Independente AP92529:911
7Amapa924312:1610
8Sao Paulo AP923414:189
9Macapa923410:189
10Santos AP922514:258