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Mazandaran vs Ario Eslamshahr - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Azadegan League 2025/2026 Vatani Stadium, Qa'em Shahr
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Match Events

55' Event
Alizadeh M.
90' Event
Yousefi M.
90' Event
Saberipour M.

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League 2025/2026 game between Mazandaran and Ario Eslamshahr finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ario Eslamshahr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Mazandaran
20%
Draws
42%
Ario Eslamshahr
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ario Eslamshahr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Ario Eslamshahr haven't matched Mazandaran's recent run of results.
  • Mazandaran are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Mazandaran Clean Sheet 20%
Ario Eslamshahr Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazandaran Ario Eslamshahr
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 9 11
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.14 0.66
Goals Conceded 0.69 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Azadegan League
Mazandaran vs Ario Eslamshahr
1:2
Dec 26, 2025 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Mazandaran
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mazandaran Compare

Top Goalscorer Saberipour M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Ario Eslamshahr Compare

Top Goalscorer Alizadeh M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yousefi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazandaran 42 / 100
Ario Eslamshahr 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazandaran Ario Eslamshahr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mazandaran found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Mazandaran remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Ario Eslamshahr let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mazandaran VS Ario Eslamshahr
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazandaran

(Home)
08 Oct
Mazandaran
1 : 1
Zob Ahan
13 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 1
Mazandaran
07 Sept
Mazandaran
1 : 0
Kheybar Khorramabad
02 Sept
Malavan
0 : 1
Mazandaran
28 Aug
Mazandaran
0 : 2
Shams Azar Qazvin
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Ario Eslamshahr

(Away)
05 Oct
Mes Rafsanjan
1 : 0
Ario Eslamshahr
28 Sept
Ario Eslamshahr
2 : 0
Havadar SC
22 Sept
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1
Ario Eslamshahr
16 Sept
Ario Eslamshahr
0 : 3
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
17 Jul
Mazandaran
1 : 2
Ario Eslamshahr
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazandaran 34 20 9 5 48:17 69
2 Mes Shahr Babak 34 19 11 4 41:14 68
3 Sanat Naft 34 16 12 6 37:21 60
4 Pars Janoobi Jam 34 16 12 6 44:22 60
5 Saipa 34 16 11 7 30:18 59
6 Havadar SC 34 11 17 6 32:23 50
7 Naft Bandar Abbas 34 10 17 7 26:19 47
8 Fard 34 10 16 8 24:15 46
9 Mes Kerman 34 10 15 9 23:18 45
10 Ario Eslamshahr 34 9 16 9 19:18 43
11 Besat Kermanshah 34 9 11 14 25:32 38
12 Kara Gostar Shabestar 34 9 10 15 17:34 37
13 Niroye Zamini 34 8 12 14 28:31 36
14 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 34 8 11 15 23:36 35
15 Naft Gachsaran 34 7 14 13 25:41 35
16 Shahrdari Noshahr 34 5 15 14 18:29 30
17 Navad Urmia 34 4 12 18 16:48 24
18 Damash Gilan 34 2 13 19 16:56 19
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