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Mazandaran vs Fajr Sepasi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Vatani Stadium, Qa'em Shahr
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mazandaran host Fajr Sepasi in the Persian Gulf Pro League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Mazandaran have averaged 1.14 scored and 0.69 conceded recently, against Fajr Sepasi's 0.93 scored and 1.3 conceded. Head-to-head, Mazandaran have won 3 to Fajr Sepasi's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 11, 2023, ending 2:1. xG projections (0.81 - 0.81) back Mazandaran to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mazandaran
35%
Draws
25%
Fajr Sepasi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mazandaran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Fajr Sepasi haven't matched Mazandaran's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Mazandaran a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Persian Gulf Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Mazandaran Clean Sheet 20%
Fajr Sepasi Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazandaran Fajr Sepasi
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.14 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2023 Hazfi Cup
Mazandaran vs Fajr Sepasi
2:1
Jan 24, 2022 Persian Gulf Pro League
Fajr Sepasi vs Mazandaran
1:1
Oct 19, 2021 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mazandaran vs Fajr Sepasi
1:0
Apr 23, 2018 Azadegan League
Mazandaran vs Fajr Sepasi
2:0
Dec 3, 2017 Azadegan League
Fajr Sepasi vs Mazandaran
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazandaran 67 / 100
Fajr Sepasi 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazandaran Fajr Sepasi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mazandaran Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mazandaran found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Fajr Sepasi conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Mazandaran has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mazandaran VS Fajr Sepasi
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazandaran

(Home)
08 Oct
Mazandaran
1 : 1
Zob Ahan
13 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 1
Mazandaran
07 Sept
Mazandaran
1 : 0
Kheybar Khorramabad
02 Sept
Malavan
0 : 1
Mazandaran
28 Aug
Mazandaran
0 : 2
Shams Azar Qazvin
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Fajr Sepasi

(Away)
08 Oct
Sepahan
6 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
07 Sept
Foolad
1 : 0
Fajr Sepasi
03 Sept
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 1
Mes Shahr Babak
29 Aug
Fajr Sepasi
0 : 0
Zob Ahan
24 Aug
Malavan
0 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tractor 8 5 2 1 9:2 17
2 Persepolis 7 5 1 1 15:4 16
3 Esteghlal TEH 8 4 4 0 10:2 16
4 Sepahan 7 4 1 2 11:5 13
5 Aluminium Arak 7 3 4 0 9:4 13
6 Gol Gohar 8 4 1 3 10:7 13
7 Foolad 7 3 3 1 7:4 12
8 Paykan 8 2 3 3 6:7 9
9 Mazandaran 8 2 3 3 5:7 9
10 Chadormalu 8 2 3 3 6:11 9
11 Malavan 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
12 Kheybar Khorramabad 7 1 4 2 10:10 7
13 Zob Ahan 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
14 Fajr Sepasi 7 1 4 2 4:9 7
15 Shams Azar Qazvin 8 1 3 4 7:10 6
16 Esteghlal Khuzestan 8 1 3 4 4:12 6
17 Mes Shahr Babak 8 0 5 3 6:12 5
18 Sanat Naft 8 0 4 4 3:11 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Azadegan League 2027/2028 (Main)