Sport Picks

Iran

Azadegan League Vatani Stadium

Mes Shahr Babak

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mazandaran play Mes Shahr Babak in the Azadegan League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mazandaran averaged 1.48 goals scored and 0.55 conceded. Mes Shahr Babak averaged 1.23 goals scored and 0.48 conceded. In past meetings, Mazandaran won 2, Mes Shahr Babak won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 21, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Mazandaran and 0.94 for Mes Shahr Babak. This points to a Mazandaran double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Mazandaran

19%

Draws

39%

Mes Shahr Babak

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Mazandaran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Mazandaran picked up more points recently compared to Mes Shahr Babak.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 52%

Over 2.5 Goals 30%

Over 3.5 Goals 18%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Mazandaran Clean Sheet 24%

Mes Shahr Babak Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 47%

Second Half Goal 49%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mazandaran	Mes Shahr Babak
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	17	18
Draws	7	9
Losses	5	4
Goals Scored	1.48	1.23
Goals Conceded	0.55	0.48
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.25	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Azadegan League

Mazandaran vs Mes Shahr Babak

Possession: 42% - 48% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Nov 28, 2025 Azadegan League

Mes Shahr Babak vs Mazandaran

Possession: 49% - 50% Cards: 4 - 2

2:1

Nov 24, 2024 Hazfi Cup

Mazandaran vs Mes Shahr Babak

Possession: 51% - 55% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mazandaran Compare

Top Goalscorer Rezazadeh P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Mes Shahr Babak Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazandaran 43 / 100

Mes Shahr Babak 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mazandaran Mes Shahr Babak

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mazandaran or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +25.1%

4.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mazandaran attacking → ← attacking Mes Shahr Babak

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mazandaran scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Mes Shahr Babak let in goals in 39% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Mazandaran went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mes Shahr Babak lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 63

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mazandaran	33	20	9	4	47:15	69
2	Mes Shahr Babak	33	18	11	4	39:14	65
3	Pars Janoobi Jam	33	15	12	6	42:21	57
4	Sanat Naft	33	15	12	6	35:21	57
5	Saipa	33	15	11	7	29:18	56
6	Havadar SC	33	11	17	5	32:20	50
7	Naft Bandar Abbas	33	10	17	6	26:18	47
8	Fard	33	10	15	8	24:15	45
9	Mes Kerman	33	9	15	9	20:18	42
10	Ario Eslamshahr	33	8	16	9	17:17	40
11	Besat Kermanshah	33	9	11	13	24:30	38
12	Niroye Zamini	33	8	12	13	28:29	36
13	Naft Gachsaran	33	7	14	12	25:39	35
14	Kara Gostar Shabestar	33	8	10	15	16:34	34
15	Shenavarsazi Qeshm	33	7	11	15	20:36	32
16	Shahrdari Noshahr	33	5	15	13	18:28	30
17	Navad Urmia	33	4	12	17	16:45	24
18	Damash Gilan	33	2	12	19	16:56	18