Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mazandaran vs Pars Janoobi Jam

Iran Iran

Azadegan League 2025/2026 Vatani Stadium, Qa'em Shahr
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Match Events

25' Event
Rezazadeh P.
32' Event
Najafi F.
65' Event
Najafi F.

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League 2025/2026 game between Mazandaran and Pars Janoobi Jam finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pars Janoobi Jam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Mazandaran
35%
Draws
38%
Pars Janoobi Jam
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pars Janoobi Jam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Pars Janoobi Jam haven't matched Mazandaran's recent run of results.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Pars Janoobi Jam taking it.
  • Regular Azadegan League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Mazandaran Clean Sheet 20%
Pars Janoobi Jam Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazandaran Pars Janoobi Jam
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 9 13
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.19 1.28
Goals Conceded 0.72 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2026 Azadegan League
Mazandaran vs Pars Janoobi Jam
1:2
Sep 3, 2025 Azadegan League
Pars Janoobi Jam vs Mazandaran
0:2
Feb 14, 2020 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mazandaran vs Pars Janoobi Jam
0:0
Sep 25, 2019 Persian Gulf Pro League
Pars Janoobi Jam vs Mazandaran
2:2
Feb 16, 2019 Persian Gulf Pro League
Pars Janoobi Jam vs Mazandaran
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mazandaran Compare

Top Goalscorer Rezazadeh P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Pars Janoobi Jam Compare

Top Goalscorer Najafi F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazandaran 12 / 100
Pars Janoobi Jam 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazandaran Pars Janoobi Jam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pars Janoobi Jam Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mazandaran scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Mazandaran went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Pars Janoobi Jam has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mazandaran VS Pars Janoobi Jam
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazandaran

(Home)
13 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 1
Mazandaran
07 Sept
Mazandaran
1 : 0
Kheybar Khorramabad
02 Sept
Malavan
0 : 1
Mazandaran
28 Aug
Mazandaran
0 : 2
Shams Azar Qazvin
23 Aug
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 1
Mazandaran
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Pars Janoobi Jam

(Away)
21 Sept
Shahin Bandar Ameri
0 : 0
Pars Janoobi Jam
15 Sept
Pars Janoobi Jam
0 : 0
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
16 Jul
Besat Kermanshah
1 : 2
Pars Janoobi Jam
11 Jul
Pars Janoobi Jam
4 : 0
Damash Gilan
02 Jul
Niroye Zamini
0 : 3
Pars Janoobi Jam
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazandaran 34 20 9 5 48:17 69
2 Mes Shahr Babak 34 19 11 4 41:14 68
3 Sanat Naft 34 16 12 6 37:21 60
4 Pars Janoobi Jam 34 16 12 6 44:22 60
5 Saipa 34 16 11 7 30:18 59
6 Havadar SC 34 11 17 6 32:23 50
7 Naft Bandar Abbas 34 10 17 7 26:19 47
8 Fard 34 10 16 8 24:15 46
9 Mes Kerman 34 10 15 9 23:18 45
10 Ario Eslamshahr 34 9 16 9 19:18 43
11 Besat Kermanshah 34 9 11 14 25:32 38
12 Kara Gostar Shabestar 34 9 10 15 17:34 37
13 Niroye Zamini 34 8 12 14 28:31 36
14 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 34 8 11 15 23:36 35
15 Naft Gachsaran 34 7 14 13 25:41 35
16 Shahrdari Noshahr 34 5 15 14 18:29 30
17 Navad Urmia 34 4 12 18 16:48 24
18 Damash Gilan 34 2 13 19 16:56 19
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