Sport Picks
Mazandaran vs Saipa
Iran
Azadegan League 2025/2026 Vatani Stadium, Qa'em Shahr 
Match Events
11'
11'
Jafari F.
50'
50'
Tahmasebi M.
67'
67'
Nasiri A.
AI Match Summary
The Azadegan League 2025/2026 game between Mazandaran and Saipa finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mazandaran.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saipa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Saipa carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Saipa a 64% chance of winning this.
- Regular Azadegan League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Mazandaran have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Mazandaran Clean Sheet 26%
Saipa Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mazandaran | Saipa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.67 | 0.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 22, 2026 Azadegan League
Mazandaran vs Saipa
3:1
Nov 20, 2025 Hazfi Cup
Saipa vs Mazandaran
1:0
Sep 30, 2025 Azadegan League
Saipa vs Mazandaran
1:2
Mar 17, 2021 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mazandaran vs Saipa
1:0
Mar 11, 2021 Hazfi Cup
Mazandaran vs Saipa
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mazandaran Compare
Top Goalscorer Tahmasebi M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Nasiri A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Saipa Compare
Top Goalscorer Jafari F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mazandaran 25 / 100
Saipa 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mazandaran Saipa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Saipa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mazandaran scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Saipa let in goals in 37% of their last 30 matches.
Mazandaran went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mazandaran VS Saipa
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mazandaran
(Home) 23 Aug
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 1 Mazandaran
18 Aug
Mazandaran
0 : 1 Esteghlal TEH
14 Aug
Gol Gohar
1 : 0 Mazandaran
17 Jul
Mazandaran
1 : 2 Ario Eslamshahr
11 Jul
Fard
0 : 1 Mazandaran
Page 1 of 6
18 Aug
Mazandaran
0 : 1 Esteghlal TEH
17 Jul
Mazandaran
1 : 2 Ario Eslamshahr
03 Jul
Mazandaran
0 : 2 Havadar SC
21 Jun
Mazandaran
1 : 0 Mes Shahr Babak
09 Jun
Mazandaran
2 : 0 Shenavarsazi Qeshm
Page 1 of 3
Saipa
(Away) 16 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0 Naft Bandar Abbas
11 Jul
Navad Urmia
0 : 2 Saipa
02 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0 Shahrdari Noshahr
27 Jun
Fard
2 : 1 Saipa
21 Jun
Saipa
1 : 0 Ario Eslamshahr
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Navad Urmia
0 : 2 Saipa
27 Jun
Fard
2 : 1 Saipa
15 Jun
Pars Janoobi Jam
0 : 0 Saipa
02 Jun
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
1 : 2 Saipa
21 May
Naft Gachsaran
2 : 1 Saipa
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazandaran | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 48:17 | 69 |
| 2 | Mes Shahr Babak | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 41:14 | 68 |
| 3 | Sanat Naft | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 37:21 | 60 |
| 4 | Pars Janoobi Jam | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 44:22 | 60 |
| 5 | Saipa | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 30:18 | 59 |
| 6 | Havadar SC | 34 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 32:23 | 50 |
| 7 | Naft Bandar Abbas | 34 | 10 | 17 | 7 | 26:19 | 47 |
| 8 | Fard | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 24:15 | 46 |
| 9 | Mes Kerman | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 23:18 | 45 |
| 10 | Ario Eslamshahr | 34 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 19:18 | 43 |
| 11 | Besat Kermanshah | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 25:32 | 38 |
| 12 | Kara Gostar Shabestar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 17:34 | 37 |
| 13 | Niroye Zamini | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 28:31 | 36 |
| 14 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 23:36 | 35 |
| 15 | Naft Gachsaran | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 25:41 | 35 |
| 16 | Shahrdari Noshahr | 34 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 18:29 | 30 |
| 17 | Navad Urmia | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 16:48 | 24 |
| 18 | Damash Gilan | 34 | 2 | 13 | 19 | 16:56 | 19 |
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League (Main)
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
