Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mazandaran vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm

Iran Iran

Azadegan League Vatani Stadium, Qa'em Shahr
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Nasiri A.
76' Event
Mohammadimehr F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Mazandaran in this Azadegan League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mazandaran.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Mazandaran
40%
Draws
29%
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Mazandaran have won more games recently than Shenavarsazi Qeshm.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Mazandaran Clean Sheet 68%
Shenavarsazi Qeshm Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazandaran Shenavarsazi Qeshm
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 17 6
Draws 7 11
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 0.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Azadegan League
Mazandaran vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm
2:0
Nov 8, 2025 Azadegan League
Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Mazandaran
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mazandaran Compare

Top Goalscorer Nasiri A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Shenavarsazi Qeshm Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazandaran 42 / 100
Shenavarsazi Qeshm 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazandaran Shenavarsazi Qeshm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mazandaran found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Shenavarsazi Qeshm let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Mazandaran went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mazandaran VS Shenavarsazi Qeshm
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazandaran

(Home)
17 Jul
Mazandaran
1 : 2
Ario Eslamshahr
11 Jul
Fard
0 : 1
Mazandaran
03 Jul
Mazandaran
0 : 2
Havadar SC
27 Jun
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 3
Mazandaran
21 Jun
Mazandaran
1 : 0
Mes Shahr Babak
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Shenavarsazi Qeshm

(Away)
16 Jul
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
3 : 0
Havadar SC
11 Jul
Ario Eslamshahr
1 : 1
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
03 Jul
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
1 : 3
Mes Shahr Babak
27 Jun
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 1
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
21 Jun
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
4 : 2
Naft Gachsaran
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazandaran34209548:1769
2Mes Shahr Babak341911441:1468
3Sanat Naft341612637:2160
4Pars Janoobi Jam341612644:2260
5Saipa341611730:1859
6Havadar SC341117632:2350
7Naft Bandar Abbas341017726:1947
8Fard341016824:1546
9Mes Kerman341015923:1845
10Ario Eslamshahr34916919:1843
11Besat Kermanshah349111425:3238
12Kara Gostar Shabestar349101517:3437
13Niroye Zamini348121428:3136
14Shenavarsazi Qeshm348111523:3635
15Naft Gachsaran347141325:4135
16Shahrdari Noshahr345151418:2930
17Navad Urmia344121816:4824
18Damash Gilan342131916:5619
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League 2026/2027 (Main)
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