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Mazarron CF vs Cartagena La Union

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Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010 game between Mazarron CF and Cartagena La Union finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cartagena La Union.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Mazarron CF
11%
Draws
80%
Cartagena La Union
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Cartagena La Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Cartagena La Union carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Cartagena La Union are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Mazarron CF Clean Sheet 20%
Cartagena La Union Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazarron CF Cartagena La Union
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 15 23
Draws 14 5
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Mazarron CF vs Cartagena La Union
0:1
Dec 13, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena La Union vs Mazarron CF
1:0
Feb 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena La Union vs Mazarron CF
0:0
Sep 28, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Mazarron CF vs Cartagena La Union
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazarron CF 12 / 100
Cartagena La Union 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazarron CF Cartagena La Union

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mazarron CF scored in 85% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: Cartagena La Union conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Mazarron CF went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 0.75 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Mazarron CF VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Futbol Club Jumilla38275684:2686
2Yeclano38266693:3884
3Lorca Deportiva38266695:3684
4UCAM Murcia38265782:3883
5Cartagena La Union38256784:4081
6Pinatar38248668:2880
7Ciudad Cieza38248681:3380
8CA Pulpileno381571661:5652
9Plus Ultra3814101459:5652
10Santomera3812131352:4549
11FC Puente Tocinos381461848:5748
12Club Edeco Fortuna381381750:7347
13Cartagena FC UCAM3811101759:5543
14Beniel381262054:7142
15Calasparra FC38992044:7036
16Base Abaran38872326:8131
17Bala Azul38792247:7630
18Mazarron CF38772440:6928
19CD Lumbreras38533028:12718
20Jumilla CD38353031:11114