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Mazarron FC vs Molinense

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Lozano G.
86' Event
Rodriguez A.

AI Match Summary

Mazarron FC in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mazarron FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Mazarron FC
20%
Draws
57%
Molinense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Molinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Molinense lately — more wins on the board than Mazarron FC.
  • Molinense are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Mazarron FC Clean Sheet 19%
Molinense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazarron FC Molinense
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 10 7
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.52 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Mazarron FC vs Molinense
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Mazarron FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mazarron FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Molinense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazarron FC 20 / 100
Molinense 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazarron FC Molinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Molinense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mazarron FC scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Molinense let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Mazarron FC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mazarron FC VS Molinense
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazarron FC

(Home)
06 Sept
Mazarron FC
1 : 2
E.G. El Palmar
24 May
Real Murcia B
2 : 0
Mazarron FC
16 May
Mazarron FC
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
10 May
CA Pulpileno
0 : 1
Mazarron FC
03 May
Mazarron FC
2 : 3
Aguilas FC B
Page 1 of 6

Molinense

(Away)
06 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 4
Molinense
24 May
Molinense
0 : 2
Club Olimpico de Totana
17 May
Club Olimpico de Totana
0 : 0
Molinense
10 May
Real Murcia B
0 : 2
Molinense
03 May
Molinense
2 : 0
Yeclano B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)