Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Rodriguez A.
15'
15'
Taborda J.
21'
21'
Jimenez D.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 game between Mazarron FC and Santomera finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mazarron FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santomera
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Mazarron FC come out ahead of Santomera on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Mazarron FC Clean Sheet 16%
Santomera Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mazarron FC | Santomera |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 11 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Mazarron FC vs Santomera
5:0
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Mazarron FC
0:1
Jan 10, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Mazarron FC vs Santomera
1:3
Aug 30, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Mazarron FC
1:1
Feb 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Mazarron FC
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mazarron FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Taborda J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Santomera Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mazarron FC 31 / 100
Santomera 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mazarron FC Santomera
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Mazarron FC scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Santomera has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Santomera lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mazarron FC VS Santomera
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Mazarron FC
(Home) 06 Sept
Mazarron FC
1 : 2 E.G. El Palmar
24 May
Real Murcia B
2 : 0 Mazarron FC
16 May
Mazarron FC
1 : 1 Real Murcia B
10 May
CA Pulpileno
0 : 1 Mazarron FC
03 May
Mazarron FC
2 : 3 Aguilas FC B
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Mazarron FC
1 : 2 E.G. El Palmar
16 May
Mazarron FC
1 : 1 Real Murcia B
03 May
Mazarron FC
2 : 3 Aguilas FC B
12 Apr
Mazarron FC
4 : 1 E.G. El Palmar
29 Mar
Mazarron FC
1 : 0 Molinense
Page 1 of 4
Santomera
(Away) 05 Sept
Santomera
2 : 1 UCAM Murcia B
28 Aug
Santomera
3 : 1 Torrellano
22 Aug
Santomera
1 : 2 Ciudad Cieza
19 Aug
Santomera
1 : 4 Crevillente
10 May
Club Olimpico de Totana
3 : 1 Santomera
Page 1 of 7
10 May
Club Olimpico de Totana
3 : 1 Santomera
25 Apr
Real Murcia B
2 : 3 Santomera
12 Apr
Minerva
1 : 0 Santomera
28 Mar
Aguilas FC B
2 : 0 Santomera
15 Mar
Mazarron FC
5 : 0 Santomera
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciudad Cieza | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 65:21 | 73 |
| 2 | Real Murcia B | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:44 | 59 |
| 3 | Molinense | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 46:34 | 59 |
| 4 | Club Olimpico de Totana | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 44:27 | 58 |
| 5 | Mazarron FC | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 50:33 | 56 |
| 6 | UCAM Murcia B | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 55:37 | 55 |
| 7 | Aguilas FC B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 47:42 | 52 |
| 8 | CA Pulpileno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 30:29 | 50 |
| 9 | Santa Cruz | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 35:37 | 48 |
| 10 | Minerva | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:39 | 44 |
| 11 | Bala Azul | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 39:36 | 40 |
| 12 | FC Cartagena SAD B | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:39 | 38 |
| 13 | Deportivo Maritimo | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38:46 | 36 |
| 14 | E.G. El Palmar | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 27:48 | 32 |
| 15 | Santomera | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 38:64 | 32 |
| 16 | Caravaca | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 33:44 | 31 |
| 17 | Muleno CF | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 33:58 | 31 |
| 18 | Yeclano B | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25:54 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
