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Mazarron FC vs Minerva - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
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Match Events

82' Event
Guimimi A.

AI Match Summary

Minerva in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Minerva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Mazarron FC
30%
Draws
62%
Minerva
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Minerva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Minerva lately — more wins on the board than Mazarron FC.
  • Win probability leans Minerva's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Mazarron FC Clean Sheet 18%
Minerva Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazarron FC Minerva
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.57 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Mazarron FC vs Minerva
0:1
Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Mazarron FC vs Minerva
0:1
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Minerva vs Mazarron FC
1:2
Apr 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Mazarron FC vs Minerva
0:0
Dec 1, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Minerva vs Mazarron FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mazarron FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Minerva Compare

Top Goalscorer Guimimi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazarron FC 28 / 100
Minerva 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazarron FC Minerva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Minerva Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mazarron FC scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Minerva conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Mazarron FC stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mazarron FC VS Minerva
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazarron FC

(Home)
04 Oct
Mazarron FC
0 : 1
Minerva
27 Sept
Molinense
3 : 2
Mazarron FC
20 Sept
Mazarron FC
2 : 2
Santa Cruz
12 Sept
Bala Azul
1 : 0
Mazarron FC
06 Sept
Mazarron FC
1 : 2
Cotillas CD
Page 1 of 6

Minerva

(Away)
04 Oct
Mazarron FC
0 : 1
Minerva
27 Sept
Minerva
1 : 1
Club Olimpico de Totana
20 Sept
San Javier
1 : 0
Minerva
13 Sept
Minerva
0 : 0
FC Cartagena SAD B
06 Sept
Deportivo Maritimo
0 : 1
Minerva
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santomera 6 5 1 0 14:6 16
2 Molinense 6 3 2 1 13:8 11
3 San Javier 5 3 2 0 8:5 11
4 Santa Cruz 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
5 Alcantarilla 6 2 3 1 5:5 9
6 CA Pulpileno 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
7 Club Olimpico de Totana 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
8 Minerva 5 2 2 1 3:2 8
9 Bala Azul 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
10 FC Cartagena SAD B 6 2 2 2 9:10 8
11 Cotillas CD 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
12 UCAM Murcia B 5 1 2 2 8:6 5
13 Bullas Deportivo 5 1 2 2 7:6 5
14 Aguilas FC B 5 0 5 0 5:5 5
15 UD Los Garres 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
16 CD Algar 5 1 0 4 3:10 3
17 Deportivo Maritimo 5 1 0 4 2:10 3
18 Mazarron FC 5 0 1 4 5:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)