Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mazarron FC vs Molinense Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Lozano G.
86' Event
Rodriguez A.

AI Match Summary

Mazarron FC in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mazarron FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Mazarron FC
30%
Draws
62%
Molinense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Molinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Molinense lately — more wins on the board than Mazarron FC.
  • Molinense are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Mazarron FC Clean Sheet 13%
Molinense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazarron FC Molinense
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 14
Draws 10 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.52 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Mazarron FC
3:2
Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Mazarron FC vs Molinense
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Mazarron FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mazarron FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Molinense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazarron FC 22 / 100
Molinense 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazarron FC Molinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Molinense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mazarron FC scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Molinense let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Mazarron FC stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mazarron FC VS Molinense
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazarron FC

(Home)
04 Oct
Mazarron FC
0 : 1
Minerva
27 Sept
Molinense
3 : 2
Mazarron FC
20 Sept
Mazarron FC
2 : 2
Santa Cruz
12 Sept
Bala Azul
1 : 0
Mazarron FC
06 Sept
Mazarron FC
1 : 2
Cotillas CD
Page 1 of 6

Molinense

(Away)
04 Oct
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1
Molinense
27 Sept
Molinense
3 : 2
Mazarron FC
20 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
1 : 0
Molinense
13 Sept
Molinense
2 : 2
San Javier
06 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 4
Molinense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)