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Mazatlan FC W vs Monterrey W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio El Encanto
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Garcia L.
46'
Sub
Soto A. In: Martinez L.
Out: Soto A.
46'
Sub
Servin F. In: Perez N.
Out: Servin F.

AI Match Summary

Monterrey W in this Liga MX Women matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monterrey W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Mazatlan FC W
22%
Draws
60%
Monterrey W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Monterrey W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Monterrey W lately — more wins on the board than Mazatlan FC W.
  • Model gives Monterrey W a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Monterrey W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Mazatlan FC W Clean Sheet 16%
Monterrey W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazatlan FC W Monterrey W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 21
Draws 5 6
Losses 20 6
Goals Scored 0.71 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.57 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Liga MX Women
Mazatlan FC W vs Monterrey W
0:2
Aug 9, 2025 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Mazatlan FC W
5:0
Jan 6, 2025 Liga MX Women
Mazatlan FC W vs Monterrey W
0:7
Oct 1, 2024 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Mazatlan FC W
6:1
Apr 15, 2024 Liga MX Women
Mazatlan FC W vs Monterrey W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mazatlan FC W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.35

Monterrey W Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burkenroad C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazatlan FC W 19 / 100
Monterrey W 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazatlan FC W Monterrey W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Mazatlan FC W found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Monterrey W let in goals in 55% of their last 33 matches.

Away concern: Monterrey W has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mazatlan FC W VS Monterrey W
0.71 Goals Scored 1.38
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.13
57% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club America W17133144:1342
2Monterrey W17124139:840
3Tigres UANL W17114241:1337
4Pachuca W17113346:1536
5Guadalajara Chivas W1797127:1334
6Toluca W17103438:2633
7Cruz Azul W1794438:1931
8Juarez W1785427:1829
9Club Tijuana W1784531:2328
10UNAM Pumas W1764723:2922
11Atletico San Luis W1763820:3221
12Mazatlan FC W1753919:2718
13Club Leon W1744932:3516
14Atlas W17331122:4012
15Puebla W17321211:4611
16Santos Laguna W17231214:299
17Queretaro W17121411:465
18Necaxa W17111511:624