Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mazembe vs Muungano

DR Congo DR Congo

Super Ligue 2018/2019 Stade Frederic Kibassa Maliba, Lubumbashi
Sat, Feb 9, 2019
3 - 0
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mazembe host Muungano in the Super Ligue 2018/2019. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Mazembe have averaged 2 scored and 0.41 conceded recently, against Muungano's 0.33 scored and 2.37 conceded. Head-to-head, Mazembe have won 5 to Muungano's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 9, 2019, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.73 vs 0.81, favoring Mazembe. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Mazembe
15%
Draws
16%
Muungano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mazembe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Mazembe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mazembe a 69% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super Ligue 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Mazembe have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.8%
Mazembe Clean Sheet 20%
Muungano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazembe Muungano
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 31 2
Draws 4 1
Losses 4 27
Goals Scored 2 0.33
Goals Conceded 0.41 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2019 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Muungano
3:0
Nov 24, 2018 Ligue 1
Muungano vs Mazembe
1:2
Jul 16, 2017 Ligue 1
Muungano vs Mazembe
0:3
Apr 30, 2017 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Muungano
4:0
Jun 25, 2016 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Muungano
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazembe 85 / 100
Muungano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazembe Muungano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mazembe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mazembe scored in 85% of their last 39 games.

Muungano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Mazembe stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mazembe VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazembe

(Home)
12 Sept
Mazembe
3 : 1
Medeama
06 Sept
Medeama
0 : 1
Mazembe
20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Celeste
17 Jun
Don Bosco
0 : 3
Mazembe
14 Jun
Mazembe
0 : 0
St Eloi Lupopo
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Muungano

(Away)
25 Apr
Muungano
3 : 0
AS Dragons
21 Apr
Muungano
0 : 3
Nyuki
20 Apr
OC Renaissance
3 : 0
Muungano
12 Apr
Don Bosco
3 : 0
Muungano
06 Apr
Lubumbashi Sport
3 : 0
Muungano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 27 2 1 82:11 83
2 AS Vita Club 30 23 5 2 60:15 74
3 Motema Pembe 30 19 6 5 47:25 63
4 AS Maniema 30 17 6 7 40:23 57
5 Sanga Balende 30 11 9 10 37:29 42
6 St Eloi Lupopo 30 10 11 9 25:25 41
7 Dauphins Noirs 30 11 7 12 29:41 40
8 Nyuki 30 10 8 12 28:32 38
9 OC Renaissance 30 10 8 12 28:40 38
10 AC Rangers 30 10 7 13 30:33 37
11 Don Bosco 30 9 9 12 34:36 36
12 Groupe Bazano 30 9 7 14 25:30 34
13 Lubumbashi Sport 30 8 8 14 35:42 32
14 Mont Bleu 30 7 9 14 28:44 30
15 AS Dragons 30 3 5 22 12:53 14
16 Muungano 30 2 1 27 10:71 7
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2019/2020 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2019/2020 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2019/2020 (Qualification)