Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mazembe vs Simba

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mazembe in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mazembe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mazembe
6%
Draws
4%
Simba
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mazembe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Simba haven't matched Mazembe's recent run of results.
  • Mazembe are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Mazembe Clean Sheet 20%
Simba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazembe Simba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 7
Draws 4 11
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.88 0.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Simba
4:1
May 18, 2026 Ligue 1
Simba vs Mazembe
0:1
Feb 22, 2026 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Simba
3:0
Nov 11, 2025 Ligue 1
Simba vs Mazembe
1:1
Jul 9, 2025 Ligue 1
Simba vs Mazembe
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazembe 85 / 100
Simba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazembe Simba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mazembe's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Simba conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Mazembe stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mazembe VS Simba
1.88 Goals Scored 0.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazembe

(Home)
20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Celeste
17 Jun
Don Bosco
0 : 3
Mazembe
14 Jun
Mazembe
0 : 0
St Eloi Lupopo
11 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Aigles du Congo
07 Jun
AS Maniema
2 : 1
Mazembe
Page 1 of 6

Simba

(Away)
20 Jun
Simba
2 : 1
AS Maniema
17 Jun
Simba
0 : 0
AS Vita Club
14 Jun
Aigles du Congo
1 : 0
Simba
10 Jun
Celeste
1 : 1
Simba
06 Jun
Simba
0 : 3
St Eloi Lupopo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazembe1493225:730
2Aigles du Congo1485121:1029
3AS Maniema1472516:1623
4AS Vita Club1454511:1219
5St Eloi Lupopo1446411:918
6Don Bosco1445513:1717
7Simba142579:1811
8Celeste1404108:254
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)