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Mazembe vs Simba

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Mazembe Logo

Mazembe

4 - 1
FT
Simba Logo

Simba

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mazembe in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mazembe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Mazembe
30%
Draws
19%
Simba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mazembe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Simba haven't matched Mazembe's recent run of results.
  • Mazembe are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Mazembe Clean Sheet 20%
Simba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazembe Simba
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 23 6
Draws 4 11
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.9 0.68
Goals Conceded 0.45 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Simba
4:1
May 18, 2026 Ligue 1
Simba vs Mazembe
0:1
Feb 22, 2026 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Simba
3:0
Nov 11, 2025 Ligue 1
Simba vs Mazembe
1:1
Jul 9, 2025 Ligue 1
Simba vs Mazembe
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazembe 85 / 100
Simba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazembe Simba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mazembe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mazembe's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Solid form: Mazembe remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Simba let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Mazembe VS Simba
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazembe

(Home)
12 Sept
Mazembe
3 : 1
Medeama
06 Sept
Medeama
0 : 1
Mazembe
20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Celeste
17 Jun
Don Bosco
0 : 3
Mazembe
14 Jun
Mazembe
0 : 0
St Eloi Lupopo
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Simba

(Away)
22 Aug
Simba
0 : 0
Power Dynamos
21 Aug
Simba
0 : 1
Red Arrows
20 Aug
Simba
0 : 1
Zesco
20 Jun
Simba
2 : 1
AS Maniema
17 Jun
Simba
0 : 0
AS Vita Club
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 14 9 3 2 25:7 30
2 Aigles du Congo 14 8 5 1 21:10 29
3 AS Maniema 14 7 2 5 16:16 23
4 AS Vita Club 14 5 4 5 11:12 19
5 St Eloi Lupopo 14 4 6 4 11:9 18
6 Don Bosco 14 4 5 5 13:17 17
7 Simba 14 2 5 7 9:18 11
8 Celeste 14 0 4 10 8:25 4
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)