Sport Picks
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Elblag - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group I 
Match Events
42'
42'
Sauczek C.
(Penalty)
44'
44'
Gladysz M.
44'
44'
Gladysz M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olimpia Elblag
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki lately — more wins on the board than Olimpia Elblag.
- Olimpia Elblag are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 18%
Olimpia Elblag Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | Olimpia Elblag |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.24 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Elblag
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Compare
Top Goalscorer Szwed M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Olimpia Elblag Compare
Top Goalscorer Kaczmarek T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Branecki J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 28 / 100
Olimpia Elblag 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Olimpia Elblag
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Olimpia Elblag Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Olimpia Elblag has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki VS Olimpia Elblag
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
(Home) 10 Oct
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
1 : 4 Pelikan
03 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 1 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
26 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Suwalki
19 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
3 : 2 Plock II
11 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
2 : 3 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
1 : 4 Pelikan
26 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Suwalki
19 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
3 : 2 Plock II
05 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
5 : 0 Olimpia Zambrow
22 Aug
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
2 : 2 Olimpia Elblag
Page 1 of 3
Olimpia Elblag
(Away) 10 Oct
Olimpia Elblag
2 : 1 MKS Mlawa
03 Oct
LKS Lomza
0 : 2 Olimpia Elblag
26 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
19 Sept
KTS Weszlo
2 : 1 Olimpia Elblag
12 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 0 Pelikan
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
LKS Lomza
0 : 2 Olimpia Elblag
19 Sept
KTS Weszlo
2 : 1 Olimpia Elblag
04 Sept
Warta Sieradz
4 : 1 Olimpia Elblag
22 Aug
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
2 : 2 Olimpia Elblag
15 Aug
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 2 Olimpia Elblag
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KTS Weszlo | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 26:10 | 29 |
| 2 | Suwalki | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:11 | 25 |
| 3 | Pelikan | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 28:22 | 21 |
| 5 | Plock II | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 24:19 | 21 |
| 6 | Swit Mazowiecki | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Zabkovia Zabki | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 21:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 24:22 | 16 |
| 9 | Olimpia Elblag | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18:21 | 16 |
| 10 | Warta Sieradz | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:19 | 15 |
| 11 | LKS Lodz II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:21 | 14 |
| 12 | Widzew Lodz II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 21:20 | 14 |
| 13 | Olimpia Zambrow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 14 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 21:23 | 13 |
| 15 | Lidzbark Warmimski | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 19:24 | 12 |
| 16 | MKS Mlawa | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 23:34 | 10 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13:26 | 7 |
| 18 | LKS Lomza | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12:28 | 3 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
