Sport Picks
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Zabkovia Zabki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group I 
Match Events
33'
33'
Jankowski M.
52'
52'
Swiatek J.
61'
61'
Sauczek C.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki have won more games recently than Zabkovia Zabki.
- Zabkovia Zabki are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%
Zabkovia Zabki Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | Zabkovia Zabki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.24 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Zabkovia Zabki
3:2
Jul 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Zabkovia Zabki
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Compare
Top Goalscorer Zych P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Augustyniak M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Zabkovia Zabki Compare
Top Goalscorer Jankowski M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Swiatek J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 22 / 100
Zabkovia Zabki 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Zabkovia Zabki
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Zabkovia Zabki Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
Zabkovia Zabki let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 3.50 goals.
Recent resilience: Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki VS Zabkovia Zabki
2.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
(Home) 10 Oct
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
1 : 4 Pelikan
03 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 1 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
26 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Suwalki
19 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
3 : 2 Plock II
11 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
2 : 3 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
1 : 4 Pelikan
26 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Suwalki
19 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
3 : 2 Plock II
05 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
5 : 0 Olimpia Zambrow
22 Aug
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
2 : 2 Olimpia Elblag
Page 1 of 3
Zabkovia Zabki
(Away) 10 Oct
Zabkovia Zabki
2 : 2 Jagiellonia II
25 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
3 : 4 MKS Mlawa
18 Sept
LKS Lomza
0 : 2 Zabkovia Zabki
11 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
4 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
05 Sept
KTS Weszlo
2 : 0 Zabkovia Zabki
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
LKS Lomza
0 : 2 Zabkovia Zabki
05 Sept
KTS Weszlo
2 : 0 Zabkovia Zabki
22 Aug
Warta Sieradz
0 : 4 Zabkovia Zabki
14 Aug
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
3 : 2 Zabkovia Zabki
01 Aug
Olimpia Zambrow
5 : 0 Zabkovia Zabki
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KTS Weszlo | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 26:10 | 29 |
| 2 | Suwalki | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:11 | 25 |
| 3 | Pelikan | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 28:22 | 21 |
| 5 | Plock II | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 24:19 | 21 |
| 6 | Swit Mazowiecki | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Olimpia Zambrow | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 26:27 | 17 |
| 8 | Zabkovia Zabki | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 21:20 | 17 |
| 9 | Jagiellonia II | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 24:22 | 16 |
| 10 | Olimpia Elblag | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18:21 | 16 |
| 11 | Warta Sieradz | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:19 | 15 |
| 12 | LKS Lodz II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 21:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 21:26 | 13 |
| 15 | Lidzbark Warmimski | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 19:24 | 12 |
| 16 | MKS Mlawa | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 23:34 | 10 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13:26 | 7 |
| 18 | LKS Lomza | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12:28 | 3 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
