Sport Picks
Mbarara City vs Uganda Revenue
Uganda
Premier League Rwamwanja stadium 
AI Match Summary
Mbarara City play Uganda Revenue in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mbarara City averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Uganda Revenue averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Mbarara City won 1, Uganda Revenue won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 4, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Mbarara City and 1.06 for Uganda Revenue. This points to a Uganda Revenue double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Mbarara City picked up more points recently compared to Uganda Revenue.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.06 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mbarara City | Uganda Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 12 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mbarara City scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Uganda Revenue let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.40 goals.
Mbarara City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Uganda Revenue lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vipers | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 55:17 | 67 |
| 2 | Kampala City | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 46:22 | 62 |
| 3 | Villa | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 47:17 | 61 |
| 4 | Kitara | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:22 | 56 |
| 5 | Entebbe UPPC | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 30:20 | 51 |
| 6 | NEC FC | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 51 |
| 7 | Police | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 47 |
| 8 | Maroons | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 26:27 | 38 |
| 9 | BUL | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:33 | 37 |
| 10 | Express FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:31 | 37 |
| 11 | Uganda Revenue | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 27:30 | 31 |
| 12 | Mbarara City | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26:46 | 27 |
| 13 | Lugazi | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 19:36 | 25 |
| 14 | UPDF FC | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24:41 | 22 |
| 15 | Calvary | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 14:39 | 21 |
| 16 | Buhimba | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 16:66 | 15 |