Sport Picks
Mbeya City vs Biashara Mara United Prediction & H2H Stats
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 
Match Events
23'
23'
Ssemujju J.
Assist: Ibrahim S. O.
AI Match Summary
Mbeya City in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mbeya City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mbeya City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Biashara Mara United haven't matched Mbeya City's recent run of results.
- Mbeya City are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Mbeya City Clean Sheet 68%
Biashara Mara United Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mbeya City | Biashara Mara United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.94 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 28, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Biashara Mara United
1:0
Nov 3, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Biashara Mara United vs Mbeya City
0:0
Jul 18, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Biashara Mara United
4:0
Dec 18, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Biashara Mara United vs Mbeya City
3:0
Feb 29, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Biashara Mara United vs Mbeya City
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mbeya City Compare
Top Goalscorer Ssemujju J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46
Biashara Mara United Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mbeya City 50 / 100
Biashara Mara United 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mbeya City Biashara Mara United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mbeya City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Mbeya City scored in 63% of their last 35 outings.
Defensive concern: Biashara Mara United conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Recent resilience: Mbeya City stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mbeya City VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mbeya City
(Home) 12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0 Mbeya City
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0 Mbeya City
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Mbeya City
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1 Mashujaa
19 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Dodoma Jiji
Page 1 of 7
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1 Mashujaa
19 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Dodoma Jiji
14 Aug
Mbeya City
0 : 1 Geita Gold
05 Jul
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
30 Jun
Mbeya City
0 : 0 TRA United
Page 1 of 4
Biashara Mara United
(Away) 16 Jun
TRA United
2 : 0 Biashara Mara United
12 Jun
Biashara Mara United
1 : 0 TRA United
26 May
Mbeya Kwanza
0 : 2 Biashara Mara United
19 May
Biashara Mara United
2 : 0 Mbeya Kwanza
29 Jun
Azam
4 : 1 Biashara Mara United
Page 1 of 6
16 Jun
TRA United
2 : 0 Biashara Mara United
26 May
Mbeya Kwanza
0 : 2 Biashara Mara United
29 Jun
Azam
4 : 1 Biashara Mara United
18 Jun
Geita Gold
2 : 0 Biashara Mara United
14 Jun
Kagera Sugar
0 : 0 Biashara Mara United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 49:8 | 74 |
| 2 | Simba | 30 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 41:14 | 61 |
| 3 | Azam | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 41:28 | 49 |
| 4 | Geita Gold | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 32:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Namungo | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 42:34 | 41 |
| 6 | Kagera Sugar | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 20:25 | 39 |
| 7 | Coastal Union | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 22:31 | 38 |
| 8 | Polisi Tanzania | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 21:23 | 37 |
| 9 | Mbeya City | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 25:29 | 37 |
| 10 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 34:35 | 35 |
| 11 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 25:37 | 35 |
| 12 | Ruvu Shooting | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 28:39 | 34 |
| 13 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 25:34 | 31 |
| 14 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 21:34 | 29 |
| 15 | Biashara Mara United | 30 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 23:35 | 28 |
| 16 | Mbeya Kwanza | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 22:39 | 25 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 (Relegation)
