Sport Picks
Mbeya City vs Dodoma Jiji - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara Sokoine Stadium, Mbeya 
Match Events
8'
8'
Mwani W.
13'
13'
Reuben T.
20'
20'
Buha A.
AI Match Summary
Mbeya City in this Ligi Kuu Bara matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mbeya City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mbeya City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Dodoma Jiji have won more games recently than Mbeya City.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Mbeya City Clean Sheet 68%
Dodoma Jiji Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mbeya City | Dodoma Jiji |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 0.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 19, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Dodoma Jiji
2:0
Jun 27, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Dodoma Jiji vs Mbeya City
1:1
Feb 3, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Dodoma Jiji
1:1
Dec 18, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Dodoma Jiji
1:2
Aug 17, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Dodoma Jiji vs Mbeya City
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mbeya City Compare
Top Goalscorer Mwani W.
1 Goals Assists Leader Seleman Mbegu Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Dodoma Jiji Compare
Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mbeya City 41 / 100
Dodoma Jiji 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mbeya City Dodoma Jiji
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mbeya City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Mbeya City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Mbeya City scored in 59% of their last 29 games.
Dodoma Jiji's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Mbeya City VS Dodoma Jiji
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mbeya City
(Home) 12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0 Mbeya City
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0 Mbeya City
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Mbeya City
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1 Mashujaa
19 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Dodoma Jiji
Page 1 of 6
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1 Mashujaa
19 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Dodoma Jiji
14 Aug
Mbeya City
0 : 1 Geita Gold
05 Jul
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
30 Jun
Mbeya City
0 : 0 TRA United
Page 1 of 3
Dodoma Jiji
(Away) 11 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0 Namungo
04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0 Mashujaa
29 Aug
TRA United
0 : 1 Dodoma Jiji
25 Aug
Dodoma Jiji
0 : 1 Polisi Tanzania
19 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Dodoma Jiji
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
TRA United
0 : 1 Dodoma Jiji
19 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Dodoma Jiji
14 Aug
Pamba
1 : 1 Dodoma Jiji
30 Jun
Azam
2 : 0 Dodoma Jiji
17 Jun
Singida Black Stars
5 : 0 Dodoma Jiji
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Simba | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 18 |
| 3 | Azam | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Mashujaa | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | 12 |
| 5 | Singida Black Stars | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 10 |
| 6 | Mbeya City | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 10 |
| 7 | Polisi Tanzania | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Dodoma Jiji | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 10 |
| 9 | Namungo | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 10 | Geita Gold | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | 7 |
| 11 | JKT Tanzania | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 12 | Coastal Union | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | 7 |
| 13 | TRA United | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 14 | Pamba | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 15 | Fountain Gate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:9 | 4 |
| 16 | Kagera Sugar | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:14 | 2 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)
