Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Sokoine Stadium

Mbeya City

1 - 1

Dodoma Jiji

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Edgar W.

Assist: Kamagi G.

26'

Ambokile E.

Assist: Maranyingi B.

46'

Sub

Kayanda F. In: Ngassa B.

Out: Kayanda F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara game between Mbeya City and Dodoma Jiji finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Mbeya City

Draws

Dodoma Jiji

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mbeya City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Dodoma Jiji come out ahead of Mbeya City on wins alone.
Model gives Mbeya City a 90% chance of winning this.
Regular Ligi Kuu Bara form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

Mbeya City Clean Sheet 68%

Dodoma Jiji Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mbeya City	Dodoma Jiji
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	7	8
Draws	9	11
Losses	14	12
Goals Scored	0.75	0.75
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Dodoma Jiji vs Mbeya City

Possession: 43% - 48% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Feb 3, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mbeya City vs Dodoma Jiji

Possession: 51% - 59% Cards: 0 - 4

1:1

Dec 18, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mbeya City vs Dodoma Jiji

Possession: 45% - 44% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Aug 17, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara

Dodoma Jiji vs Mbeya City

Possession: 60% - 46% Cards: 2 - 3

1:3

Apr 23, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara

Dodoma Jiji vs Mbeya City

Possession: 58% - 41% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mbeya City Compare

Top Goalscorer Ambokile E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Dodoma Jiji Compare

Top Goalscorer Edgar W.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mbeya City 95 / 100

Dodoma Jiji 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mbeya City Dodoma Jiji

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MBE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Mbeya City remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Dodoma Jiji let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Dodoma Jiji has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mbeya City VS Dodoma Jiji

0.75 Goals Scored 0.75

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5

63% Over 1.5 50%

13% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	23	6	1	71:9	75
2	Simba	30	22	7	1	54:11	73
3	Azam	30	18	10	2	46:12	64
4	Singida Black Stars	30	15	5	10	47:35	50
5	TRA United	30	11	10	9	33:28	43
6	JKT Tanzania	30	10	12	8	30:33	42
7	Pamba	30	9	9	12	32:35	36
8	Coastal Union	30	9	9	12	31:37	36
9	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	11	11	25:36	35
10	Namungo	30	7	13	10	25:32	34
11	Mashujaa	30	7	12	11	15:27	33
12	Fountain Gate	30	9	6	15	25:44	33
13	Tanzania Prisons	30	9	5	16	23:41	32
14	Mbeya City	30	7	9	14	24:41	30
15	Mtibwa Sugar	30	6	9	15	25:48	27
16	Kinondoni MC	30	2	3	25	16:53	9