Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Sokoine Stadium

Mbeya City

0 - 1

Fountain Gate

Our Tip

Match Events

37'

Mwanuke J.

40'

Rashid I.

45'

Awara O.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fountain Gate in this Ligi Kuu Bara matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fountain Gate.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Mbeya City

11%

Draws

Fountain Gate

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Mbeya City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Fountain Gate have won more games recently than Mbeya City.
80% — that's where the model lands on Mbeya City taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%

Mbeya City Clean Sheet 68%

Fountain Gate Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mbeya City	Fountain Gate
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	7	9
Draws	9	6
Losses	14	15
Goals Scored	0.75	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mbeya City vs Fountain Gate

Possession: 45% - 40% Cards: 1 - 0

0:1

Sep 18, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

Fountain Gate vs Mbeya City

Possession: 57% - 41% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Dec 22, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mbeya City vs Fountain Gate

Possession: 53% - 58% Cards: 0 - 2

1:1

Aug 21, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara

Fountain Gate vs Mbeya City

Possession: 53% - 47% Cards: 2 - 4

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mbeya City Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Fountain Gate Compare

Top Goalscorer Said S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mbeya City 86 / 100

Fountain Gate 11 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mbeya City Fountain Gate

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MBE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fountain Gate has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Mbeya City went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Fountain Gate lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mbeya City VS Fountain Gate

0.75 Goals Scored 0.88

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38

63% Over 1.5 63%

13% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	23	6	1	71:9	75
2	Simba	30	22	7	1	54:11	73
3	Azam	30	18	10	2	46:12	64
4	Singida Black Stars	30	15	5	10	47:35	50
5	TRA United	30	11	10	9	33:28	43
6	JKT Tanzania	30	10	12	8	30:33	42
7	Pamba	30	9	9	12	32:35	36
8	Coastal Union	30	9	9	12	31:37	36
9	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	11	11	25:36	35
10	Namungo	30	7	13	10	25:32	34
11	Mashujaa	30	7	12	11	15:27	33
12	Fountain Gate	30	9	6	15	25:44	33
13	Tanzania Prisons	30	9	5	16	23:41	32
14	Mbeya City	30	7	9	14	24:41	30
15	Mtibwa Sugar	30	6	9	15	25:48	27
16	Kinondoni MC	30	2	3	25	16:53	9