Sport Picks
Mbeya City vs Mashujaa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara Sokoine Stadium, Mbeya 
Match Events
52'
52'
Lidah H.
69'
69'
Buha A.
80'
80'
Mwajanga O.
AI Match Summary
Mbeya City in this Ligi Kuu Bara matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mbeya City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mashujaa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Mashujaa lately — more wins on the board than Mbeya City.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Ligi Kuu Bara form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Mbeya City Clean Sheet 20%
Mashujaa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mbeya City | Mashujaa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.85 | 0.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Mashujaa
2:1
Apr 30, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Mashujaa
0:0
Nov 22, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Mbeya City
1:0
Jun 24, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Mashujaa
0:1
Jun 19, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Mbeya City
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mbeya City Compare
Top Goalscorer Buha A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mwajanga O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Mashujaa Compare
Top Goalscorer Lidah H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mbeya City 32 / 100
Mashujaa 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mbeya City Mashujaa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mashujaa let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Attacking prowess: Mbeya City scored in 56% of their last 27 outings.
Recent resilience: Mbeya City stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mbeya City VS Mashujaa
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Mbeya City
(Home) 18 Oct
JKT Tanzania
2 : 1 Mbeya City
09 Oct
Mbeya City
1 : 3 Kagera Sugar
12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0 Mbeya City
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0 Mbeya City
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Mbeya City
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Mbeya City
1 : 3 Kagera Sugar
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1 Mashujaa
19 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Dodoma Jiji
14 Aug
Mbeya City
0 : 1 Geita Gold
05 Jul
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
Page 1 of 3
Mashujaa
(Away) 13 Oct
Simba
6 : 1 Mashujaa
08 Oct
Mashujaa
2 : 1 Polisi Tanzania
09 Sept
Mashujaa
2 : 1 Singida Black Stars
04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0 Mashujaa
27 Aug
Mashujaa
2 : 1 Kagera Sugar
Page 1 of 6
13 Oct
Simba
6 : 1 Mashujaa
04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0 Mashujaa
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1 Mashujaa
18 Aug
Fountain Gate
1 : 0 Mashujaa
15 Aug
Coastal Union
0 : 1 Mashujaa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 19:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:4 | 19 |
| 3 | Azam | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 4 | JKT Tanzania | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 16 |
| 5 | Dodoma Jiji | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 14 |
| 6 | Polisi Tanzania | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Namungo | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9:12 | 12 |
| 8 | Mashujaa | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9:13 | 12 |
| 9 | Singida Black Stars | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Mbeya City | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 11 | Coastal Union | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:13 | 10 |
| 12 | Geita Gold | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 13 | TRA United | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 14 | Pamba | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:15 | 6 |
| 15 | Kagera Sugar | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:17 | 6 |
| 16 | Fountain Gate | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5:13 | 6 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)
