Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mbeya City vs Ruvu Shooting

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Mashaka V.
Assist: Chanongo H.
41' Event
Sabilo S.
81' Event
Abrahamani A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023 game between Mbeya City and Ruvu Shooting finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ruvu Shooting.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Mbeya City
15%
Draws
0%
Ruvu Shooting
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mbeya City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ruvu Shooting haven't matched Mbeya City's recent run of results.
  • Mbeya City are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Mbeya City here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Mbeya City Clean Sheet 68%
Ruvu Shooting Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mbeya City Ruvu Shooting
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 0.94 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Ruvu Shooting
1:2
Oct 31, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ruvu Shooting vs Mbeya City
0:1
Jun 19, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ruvu Shooting vs Mbeya City
0:1
Jan 20, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Ruvu Shooting
1:0
May 13, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Ruvu Shooting
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mbeya City Compare

Top Goalscorer Sabilo S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Ruvu Shooting Compare

Top Goalscorer Mashaka V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abrahamani A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mbeya City 95 / 100
Ruvu Shooting 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mbeya City Ruvu Shooting

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mbeya City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ruvu Shooting conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Ruvu Shooting's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Mbeya City found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (34 games).

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Mbeya City VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mbeya City

(Home)
12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0
Mbeya City
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0
Mbeya City
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2
Mbeya City
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1
Mashujaa
19 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 0
Dodoma Jiji
Page 1 of 7

Ruvu Shooting

(Away)
09 Jun
Ruvu Shooting
0 : 1
Dodoma Jiji
06 Jun
Fountain Gate
2 : 1
Ruvu Shooting
12 May
Simba
3 : 0
Ruvu Shooting
22 Apr
Ruvu Shooting
1 : 3
Azam
09 Apr
Tanzania Prisons
3 : 1
Ruvu Shooting
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 25 3 2 61:18 78
2 Simba 30 22 7 1 75:17 73
3 Azam 30 18 5 7 55:29 59
4 Fountain Gate 30 16 7 7 35:26 55
5 Namungo 30 11 7 12 29:33 40
6 Singida Black Stars 30 12 3 15 31:32 39
7 Geita Gold 30 9 10 11 35:44 37
8 Tanzania Prisons 30 10 7 13 29:38 37
9 Dodoma Jiji 30 11 4 15 26:37 37
10 Mtibwa Sugar 30 9 8 13 34:45 35
11 Kagera Sugar 30 9 8 13 23:36 35
12 Coastal Union 30 8 9 13 25:35 33
13 Kinondoni MC 30 8 8 14 25:31 32
14 Mbeya City 30 7 10 13 34:44 31
15 Polisi Tanzania 30 6 7 17 25:54 25
16 Ruvu Shooting 30 5 5 20 19:42 20
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023 (Relegation)