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Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Sokoine Stadium, Mbeya
Mon, Nov 2, 2026
VS
01:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mbeya City host Singida Black Stars in the Ligi Kuu Bara. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Singida Black Stars have shipped 1.15 goals a game lately, while Mbeya City have conceded 1.34 and scored 0.86. Head-to-head, Mbeya City have won 0 to Singida Black Stars's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on May 26, 2026, ending 4:1. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.75) point toward Singida Black Stars. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Mbeya City
30%
Draws
47%
Singida Black Stars
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Singida Black Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Singida Black Stars come out ahead of Mbeya City on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Singida Black Stars's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Singida Black Stars have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Mbeya City Clean Sheet 12%
Singida Black Stars Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mbeya City Singida Black Stars
Matches Played 29 39
Wins 9 20
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.86 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Mbeya City
4:1
Apr 12, 2026 Federation Cup
Singida Black Stars vs Mbeya City
5:1
Mar 15, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars
1:4
Feb 5, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Mbeya City
2:0
Oct 8, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mbeya City 27 / 100
Singida Black Stars 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mbeya City Singida Black Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Singida Black Stars Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Singida Black Stars conceded in 74% of 39 recent games.

Mbeya City found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Mbeya City has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mbeya City VS Singida Black Stars
0.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mbeya City

(Home)
18 Oct
JKT Tanzania
2 : 1
Mbeya City
09 Oct
Mbeya City
1 : 3
Kagera Sugar
12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0
Mbeya City
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0
Mbeya City
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2
Mbeya City
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Singida Black Stars

(Away)
25 Oct
Singida Black Stars
1 : 1
Tusker
18 Oct
Tusker
0 : 1
Singida Black Stars
12 Oct
Coastal Union
1 : 0
Singida Black Stars
09 Oct
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 1
Singida Black Stars
13 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 0
Al-Ghazala
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 8 8 0 0 19:4 24
2 Young Africans 9 7 1 1 19:5 22
3 Azam 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
4 JKT Tanzania 10 5 2 3 12:12 17
5 Dodoma Jiji 9 4 3 2 8:5 15
6 Polisi Tanzania 9 3 3 3 12:11 12
7 Namungo 9 4 0 5 9:12 12
8 Mashujaa 9 4 0 5 10:15 12
9 Singida Black Stars 8 3 2 3 14:11 11
10 Mbeya City 8 3 1 4 8:9 10
11 Coastal Union 9 3 1 5 8:13 10
12 Geita Gold 9 2 2 5 10:16 8
13 TRA United 8 1 4 3 6:7 7
14 Pamba 9 1 3 5 10:15 6
15 Kagera Sugar 9 1 3 5 9:17 6
16 Fountain Gate 9 1 3 5 5:13 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)