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Mbeya Kwanza vs Coastal Union Prediction & H2H Stats

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Kanduru H.
Assist: Kyombo H.
89' Event
Edgar W.
Assist: Mwansanga O.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 game between Mbeya Kwanza and Coastal Union finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mbeya Kwanza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mbeya Kwanza
15%
Draws
85%
Coastal Union
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coastal Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Coastal Union carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Coastal Union taking it.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Mbeya Kwanza Clean Sheet 10%
Coastal Union Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mbeya Kwanza Coastal Union
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.57 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya Kwanza vs Coastal Union
2:0
Dec 5, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Mbeya Kwanza
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mbeya Kwanza Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanduru H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Edgar W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Coastal Union Compare

Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mbeya Kwanza 10 / 100
Coastal Union 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mbeya Kwanza Coastal Union

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coastal Union Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Coastal Union conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Mbeya Kwanza found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Coastal Union lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mbeya Kwanza VS Coastal Union
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mbeya Kwanza

(Home)
05 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
3 : 1
Mbeya Kwanza
28 Jun
Mbeya Kwanza
0 : 4
Polisi Tanzania
13 Mar
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0
Mbeya Kwanza
26 May
Mbeya Kwanza
0 : 2
Biashara Mara United
19 May
Biashara Mara United
2 : 0
Mbeya Kwanza
Page 1 of 6

Coastal Union

(Away)
12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1
JKT Tanzania
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2
Coastal Union
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0
Coastal Union
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1
TRA United
20 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 1
Coastal Union
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 22 8 0 49:8 74
2 Simba 30 17 10 3 41:14 61
3 Azam 30 14 7 9 41:28 49
4 Geita Gold 30 12 10 8 32:26 46
5 Namungo 30 10 11 9 42:34 41
6 Kagera Sugar 30 9 12 9 20:25 39
7 Coastal Union 30 10 8 12 22:31 38
8 Polisi Tanzania 30 8 13 9 21:23 37
9 Mbeya City 30 8 13 9 25:29 37
10 Kinondoni MC 30 8 11 11 34:35 35
11 Dodoma Jiji 30 9 8 13 25:37 35
12 Ruvu Shooting 30 8 10 12 28:39 34
13 Mtibwa Sugar 30 7 10 13 25:34 31
14 Tanzania Prisons 30 7 8 15 21:34 29
15 Biashara Mara United 30 5 13 12 23:35 28
16 Mbeya Kwanza 30 5 10 15 22:39 25
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 (Relegation)