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Mbeya Kwanza vs Ruvu Shooting Prediction & H2H Stats

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Juma R.
Assist: Abdulrahman M.
65' Event
Maganga F.
78' Event
Mwansanga O.

AI Match Summary

Ruvu Shooting in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ruvu Shooting.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mbeya Kwanza
15%
Draws
85%
Ruvu Shooting
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ruvu Shooting

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ruvu Shooting lately — more wins on the board than Mbeya Kwanza.
  • Win probability leans Ruvu Shooting's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Mbeya Kwanza Clean Sheet 13%
Ruvu Shooting Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mbeya Kwanza Ruvu Shooting
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 6
Draws 6 6
Losses 20 20
Goals Scored 0.57 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 1.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya Kwanza vs Ruvu Shooting
1:2
Feb 3, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ruvu Shooting vs Mbeya Kwanza
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mbeya Kwanza Compare

Top Goalscorer Mwansanga O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.3

Ruvu Shooting Compare

Top Goalscorer Juma R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maganga F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.5
Avg xA / game 0.92

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mbeya Kwanza 27 / 100
Ruvu Shooting 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mbeya Kwanza Ruvu Shooting

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ruvu Shooting Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ruvu Shooting conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

Difficult form: Ruvu Shooting registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Mbeya Kwanza scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Mbeya Kwanza VS Ruvu Shooting
0.2 Goals Scored 0.5
2.8 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 38%
60% Over 2.5 25%
40% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mbeya Kwanza

(Home)
05 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
3 : 1
Mbeya Kwanza
28 Jun
Mbeya Kwanza
0 : 4
Polisi Tanzania
13 Mar
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0
Mbeya Kwanza
26 May
Mbeya Kwanza
0 : 2
Biashara Mara United
19 May
Biashara Mara United
2 : 0
Mbeya Kwanza
Page 1 of 6

Ruvu Shooting

(Away)
09 Jun
Ruvu Shooting
0 : 1
Dodoma Jiji
06 Jun
Fountain Gate
2 : 1
Ruvu Shooting
12 May
Simba
3 : 0
Ruvu Shooting
22 Apr
Ruvu Shooting
1 : 3
Azam
09 Apr
Tanzania Prisons
3 : 1
Ruvu Shooting
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 22 8 0 49:8 74
2 Simba 30 17 10 3 41:14 61
3 Azam 30 14 7 9 41:28 49
4 Geita Gold 30 12 10 8 32:26 46
5 Namungo 30 10 11 9 42:34 41
6 Kagera Sugar 30 9 12 9 20:25 39
7 Coastal Union 30 10 8 12 22:31 38
8 Polisi Tanzania 30 8 13 9 21:23 37
9 Mbeya City 30 8 13 9 25:29 37
10 Kinondoni MC 30 8 11 11 34:35 35
11 Dodoma Jiji 30 9 8 13 25:37 35
12 Ruvu Shooting 30 8 10 12 28:39 34
13 Mtibwa Sugar 30 7 10 13 25:34 31
14 Tanzania Prisons 30 7 8 15 21:34 29
15 Biashara Mara United 30 5 13 12 23:35 28
16 Mbeya Kwanza 30 5 10 15 22:39 25
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 (Relegation)