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Mbour vs Ouakam

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Mbour Logo

Mbour

0 - 0
FT
Ouakam Logo

Ouakam

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Mbour and Ouakam finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Mbour
35%
Draws
40%
Ouakam
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ouakam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Ouakam carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 4%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Mbour Clean Sheet 28%
Ouakam Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mbour Ouakam
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 18 18
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 0.6 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.7 0.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Ligue 1
Mbour vs Ouakam
0:0
Dec 29, 2025 Ligue 1
Ouakam vs Mbour
1:1
Mar 10, 2024 Ligue 1
Ouakam vs Mbour
1:1
Nov 12, 2023 Ligue 1
Mbour vs Ouakam
0:0
Jun 10, 2018 Ligue 1
Mbour vs Ouakam
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mbour 38 / 100
Ouakam 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mbour Ouakam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ouakam Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mbour went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mbour found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Ouakam let in goals in 43% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Mbour VS Ouakam
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mbour

(Home)
04 Jun
US Goree
0 : 0
Mbour
22 May
Mbour
0 : 2
Guediawaye
17 May
Teungueth
2 : 0
Mbour
13 May
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
0 : 2
Mbour
10 May
Mbour
1 : 1
Wally Daan
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Ouakam

(Away)
04 Jun
Ouakam
2 : 1
Sonacos
22 May
Ouakam
2 : 3
Generation Foot
17 May
Linguere
1 : 1
Ouakam
13 May
Ouakam
2 : 0
US Goree
10 May
Guediawaye
1 : 1
Ouakam
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)