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MC Alger vs Ain Beida

Algeria Algeria

Algeria Cup 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with MC Alger advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
MC Alger
20%
Draws
42%
Ain Beida
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ain Beida

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • MC Alger carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans MC Alger's way, sitting at 50%.
  • MC Alger have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor MC Alger, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
MC Alger Clean Sheet 20%
Ain Beida Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MC Alger Ain Beida
Matches Played 29 8
Wins 17 5
Draws 4 0
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.59 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2013 Algeria Cup
MC Alger vs Ain Beida
3:0
Feb 24, 2012 Algeria Cup
MC Alger vs Ain Beida
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MC Alger 49 / 100
Ain Beida 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MC Alger Ain Beida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MC Alger Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MC Alger's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ain Beida conceded in 63% of 8 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

MC Alger has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

MC Alger VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

MC Alger

(Home)
12 Sept
MC Alger
5 : 0
Nigelec
06 Sept
Nigelec
0 : 0
MC Alger
03 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 1
MC Alger
29 Jul
Al Hilal
0 : 2
MC Alger
27 Jul
Mamelodi Sundowns
1 : 1
MC Alger
Page 1 of 6

Ain Beida

(Away)
01 Mar
MC Alger
3 : 0
Ain Beida
28 Dec
Ain Beida
5 : 1
Mouzaia
14 Dec
Ain Beida
1 : 0
Achir
24 Feb
MC Alger
2 : 1
Ain Beida
31 Dec
RC Oued Rhiou
0 : 1
Ain Beida
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
CR Belouizdad 2
Mostaganem 0
CRB Froha 0
JSM Sidi Salem 2
RC Relizane 5
Tadamoun Souf 0
IRB Nezla 0
Saida 4
CRB Ain Djasser 3
Mekhadma 2
ES Araba 0
IB Khemis El Khechna 1
Bordj Bou Arreridj 2
Annaba 0
CRB Henaya 0
ASO Chlef 1
Tlemcen 4
MC Debdaba 2
Hamra Annaba 0
WA Ramdane Djamel 1
Ain Beida 1
RC Oued Rhiou 0
MO Bejaia 1
MC Alger 2
Khroub 1
Hussein Dey 0
CR Ben Badis 0
Eulma 7
Medea 4
NRB Chrea 2
CA Batna 1
Constantine 2
Harrach 2
ES Kouba 0
Olympique M'Sila 0
Azzefoun 2
ES Ben Aknoun 3
JSM Tiaret 2
ES Boudouaou 0
Bir Mourad Rais 1
Kabylie 1
MSP Batna 0
Bejaia 1
MB Hassasna 2
JS Djijel 1
US Chaouia 0
USM Blida 1
USM Alger 2
Ain Ouessara 1
JS Emir Abdelkader 0
WAB Tissemsilt 1
MB Constantine 2
El Milia 1
RC Kouba 0
MB Ouled Gacem 0
Widad Adabi de Boufarik 2
Saoura 5
Doucen 1
IRB Berriane 0
Arba 1
Tebessa 2
ESC El Yachir 1
Oran 1
ES Setif 2
1/16-finals
CR Belouizdad 5
JSM Sidi Salem 0
RC Relizane 1
Saida 2
CRB Ain Djasser 3
IB Khemis El Khechna 2
Bordj Bou Arreridj 1
ASO Chlef 2
Tlemcen 1
WA Ramdane Djamel 0
Ain Beida 1
MC Alger 2
Khroub 1
Eulma 0
Medea 1
Constantine 3
Harrach 2
Azzefoun 0
ES Ben Aknoun 1
Bir Mourad Rais 2
Kabylie 3
MB Hassasna 1
JS Djijel 0
USM Alger 1
Ain Ouessara 2
MB Constantine 1
El Milia 0
Widad Adabi de Boufarik 2
Saoura 3
Arba 2
Tebessa 0
ES Setif 2
1/8-finals
CR Belouizdad 1
Saida 0
CRB Ain Djasser 0
ASO Chlef 4
Tlemcen 1
MC Alger 0
Khroub 0
Constantine 2
Harrach 3
Bir Mourad Rais 1
Kabylie 0
USM Alger 1
Ain Ouessara 3
Widad Adabi de Boufarik 1
Saoura 2
ES Setif 4
Quarter-finals
CR Belouizdad 1
ASO Chlef 0
Tlemcen 0
Constantine 1
Harrach 1
USM Alger 0
Ain Ouessara 1
ES Setif 3
Semi-finals
CR Belouizdad 1
Constantine 0
Harrach 2
ES Setif 3
Final
CR Belouizdad 1
ES Setif 2