Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MC Alger vs El Bayadh Prediction & H2H Stats

Algeria Algeria

Algeria Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Benhaoua O.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
MC Alger
35%
Draws
15%
El Bayadh
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: MC Alger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • El Bayadh haven't matched MC Alger's recent run of results.
  • MC Alger are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • MC Alger have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor MC Alger, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and MC Alger have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
MC Alger Clean Sheet 68%
El Bayadh Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MC Alger El Bayadh
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 20 2
Draws 4 11
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.5 0.55
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Ligue 1
MC Alger vs El Bayadh
3:0
Dec 4, 2025 Algeria Cup
MC Alger vs El Bayadh
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Ligue 1
El Bayadh vs MC Alger
0:1
Apr 26, 2025 Ligue 1
MC Alger vs El Bayadh
0:0
Nov 15, 2024 Ligue 1
El Bayadh vs MC Alger
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MC Alger Compare

Top Goalscorer Benhaoua O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

El Bayadh Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MC Alger 95 / 100
El Bayadh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MC Alger El Bayadh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MC Alger Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MC Alger scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

El Bayadh let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: MC Alger stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

MC Alger VS El Bayadh
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.83
88% Over 1.5 33%
38% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

MC Alger

(Home)
18 Sept
MC Alger
2 : 0
Rouisset
12 Sept
MC Alger
5 : 0
Nigelec
06 Sept
Nigelec
0 : 0
MC Alger
03 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 1
MC Alger
29 Jul
Al Hilal
0 : 2
MC Alger
Page 1 of 7

El Bayadh

(Away)
26 Sept
El Bayadh
0 : 0
GC Mascara
19 Sept
Sidi Benali
1 : 0
El Bayadh
05 Jun
Mostaganem
2 : 2
El Bayadh
20 May
El Bayadh
0 : 0
Saoura
08 May
Khenchela
2 : 1
El Bayadh
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
CA Batna 2
Annaba 1
Kolea 1
Bordj Menail 0
Paradou 3
Adrar 0
USF Constantine 4
Metlili Chaamba 2
Frenda 2
Mila 1
ASO Chlef 1
Sidi Abdelmoumen 0
MB Barika 1
Marsa El Hadjadj 0
Saida 3
Telaghema 0
MO Bejaia 1
Harrach 2
Kabylie 7
MB Hassi Messaoud 0
Magra 0
USM Alger 1
MO Constantine 3
Kais 1
Sidi Ali Boussidi 0
Arba 1
Oran 1
Mostaganem 2
Bethioua 0
Saoura 1
Khroub 2
Olympique Akbou 0
Constantine 4
JS El Biar 1
CR Temouchent 1
Hamaissa 0
Bechar Djedid 4
GC Mascara 3
ES Setif 1
Beni Thamou 0
Tessala 0
Bejaia 1
Widad Adabi de Boufarik 3
Naama 0
Beni Oulbane 0
Amal Bou Saada 1
Hussein Dey 3
Sedrata 0
Wifaq Ain Benian 2
SC Mecheria 1
CR Belouizdad 2
Oued Fodda 1
Ain Kercha 1
Illizi 0
Beni Thour 1
ASM Oran 2
MC Alger 1
El Bayadh 0
Khenchela 1
Rouisset 0
ES Ben Aknoun 2
RA Ain Defla 0
ESF Bir El Ater 2
Kadiria 0
1/16-finals
CA Batna 5
Kolea 1
Paradou 2
USF Constantine 0
Frenda 0
ASO Chlef 1
MB Barika 1
Saida 2
Harrach 1
Kabylie 0
USM Alger 3
MO Constantine 0
Arba 0
Mostaganem 1
Saoura 2
Khroub 0
Constantine 3
CR Temouchent 0
Bechar Djedid 0
ES Setif 4
Bejaia 4
Widad Adabi de Boufarik 1
Amal Bou Saada 0
Hussein Dey 1
Wifaq Ain Benian 1
CR Belouizdad 5
Ain Kercha 0
ASM Oran 2
MC Alger 2
Khenchela 1
ES Ben Aknoun 2
ESF Bir El Ater 0
1/8-finals
CA Batna 4
Paradou 3
ASO Chlef 0
Saida 1
Harrach 2
USM Alger 3
Mostaganem 0
Saoura 2
Constantine 2
ES Setif 1
Bejaia 3
Hussein Dey 0
CR Belouizdad 3
ASM Oran 0
MC Alger 1
ES Ben Aknoun 0
Quarter-finals
CA Batna 1
Saida 0
USM Alger 1
Saoura 0
Constantine 1
Bejaia 0
CR Belouizdad 3
MC Alger 2
Semi-finals
CA Batna 1
USM Alger 3
Constantine 2
CR Belouizdad 3
Final
USM Alger 2
CR Belouizdad 1