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MDE W vs America ES W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Capixaba Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Capixaba Women matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
MDE W
30%
Draws
16%
America ES W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: MDE W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • America ES W haven't matched MDE W's recent run of results.
  • MDE W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 41%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
MDE W Clean Sheet 10%
America ES W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MDE W America ES W
Matches Played 15 6
Wins 7 0
Draws 2 2
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 2.47 1
Goals Conceded 3.2 4.83
Expected Goals (xG) 3.98 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Capixaba Women
MDE W vs America ES W
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MDE W 83 / 100
America ES W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MDE W America ES W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MDE W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MDE W's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 15 recent games.

Defensive concern: America ES W conceded in 83% of 6 recent games.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

MDE W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MDE W VS America ES W
3.13 Goals Scored 1
3 Goals Conceded 4.83
100% Over 1.5 83%
100% Over 2.5 83%
100% Over 3.5 83%

Recent Form & Match History

MDE W

(Home)
27 Sept
MDE W
1 : 3
Estadual W
20 Sept
Vilavelhense W
1 : 4
MDE W
06 Sept
MDE W
3 : 3
America ES W
29 Aug
Prosperidade W
10 : 0
MDE W
23 Aug
MDE W
3 : 0
Harpia W
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America ES W

(Away)
27 Sept
America ES W
1 : 4
Atletico Capixaba W
20 Sept
Estadual W
4 : 1
America ES W
13 Sept
America ES W
0 : 0
Vilavelhense W
06 Sept
MDE W
3 : 3
America ES W
23 Aug
America ES W
0 : 12
Prosperidade W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prosperidade W 6 6 0 0 40:1 18
2 Harpia W 6 3 1 2 13:10 10
3 Estadual W 6 3 1 2 11:12 10
4 Atletico Capixaba W 6 2 3 1 10:11 9
5 MDE W 6 2 2 2 12:18 8
6 America ES W 6 0 2 4 6:29 2
7 Vilavelhense W 6 0 1 5 4:15 1
Promotion - Capixaba Women (Play Offs)