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Mdina vs Swieqi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Swieqi advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Mdina
20%
Draws
46%
Swieqi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Swieqi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Swieqi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Swieqi a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Swieqi arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Swieqi, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Mdina Clean Sheet 10%
Swieqi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mdina Swieqi
Matches Played 12 32
Wins 3 19
Draws 0 6
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1 2.16
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2012 FA Trophy
Mdina vs Swieqi
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mdina 10 / 100
Swieqi 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mdina Swieqi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Swieqi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Swieqi conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

Mdina found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (12 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Mdina went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Swieqi
0 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mdina

(Home)
06 Sept
Victoria Hotspurs
7 : 0
Mdina
30 Nov
Mdina
1 : 4
Pieta
28 Oct
Mdina
2 : 1
Gharb
09 Sept
Zebbug Rovers
0 : 1
Mdina
10 Sept
Mdina
2 : 3
Mellieha
Page 1 of 3

Swieqi

(Away)
18 Sept
Swieqi
3 : 2
Pieta
12 Sept
Attard
3 : 3
Swieqi
23 Apr
Swieqi
1 : 2
Birzebbuga
19 Apr
Swieqi
1 : 1
Fgura
11 Apr
St. Andrews
0 : 1
Swieqi
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Xewkija 5
Qala Saints 0
TBD -
Pembroke -
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birkirkara -
Gzira -
TBD -
Attard 1
Sirens 3
Mgarr -
TBD -
Santa Lucia 0
Victoria Wanderers 3
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzan FC -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
TBD -
Msida -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
Kirkop -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Gharghur -
TBD -
Xghajra 0
Mtarfa 5
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
Lija -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
San Gwann -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
Gharb 1
Nadur 8
Sannat Lions 2
Kalkara 0
Mdina 1
Swieqi 2
Marsa 2
Ghaxaq 1
TBD -
Zabbar -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
Mellieha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
St. Venera -
TBD -
Oratory 0
Xaghra 2
Luqa 4
Qrendi 1
Victoria Hotspurs 0
Marsaskala FC 3
Gudja -
TBD -
Munxar 1
Xbiex 2
Kercem Ajax 4
Ghajnsielem 2
St. Lawrence 0
Senglea 2
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernians -
1/32-finals
Qormi -
TBD -
Xewkija 2
Pembroke 3
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
Birkirkara -
Gzira 1
Sirens 0
Mgarr 1
Victoria Wanderers 2
Naxxar Lions 4
Dingli Swallows 1
TBD -
Balzan FC -
St. Andrews 2
Birzebbuga 0
Vittoriosa 1
Msida 2
Zurrieq 4
Fgura 0
Kirkop 0
Mqabba FC 3
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Gharghur 4
Mtarfa 1
Siggiewi 1
Lija 3
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
Zejtun 3
San Gwann 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Nadur 1
Sannat Lions 6
Swieqi 1
Marsa 1
Zabbar 2
Pieta 1
St. George's FC 0
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
Zebbug 3
Mellieha 0
TBD -
Sliema -
St. Venera 3
Xaghra 2
Luqa 1
Marsaskala FC 3
Gudja 6
Xbiex 0
Kercem Ajax 1
Senglea 2
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernians -
1/16-finals
Qormi 5
Pembroke 2
Tarxien 0
Birkirkara 1
Gzira 1
Victoria Wanderers 0
Naxxar Lions 3
Balzan FC 4
St. Andrews 2
Msida 0
Zurrieq 1
Mqabba FC 2
Floriana 2
Melita 0
Gharghur 1
Lija 2
Valletta 3
Hamrun 1
Zejtun 1
Nadur 3
Sannat Lions 2
Zabbar 1
Pieta 0
Rabat Ajax 1
Zebbug 2
Sliema 1
St. Venera 1
Marsaskala FC 3
Gudja 2
Senglea 0
Mosta FC 1
Hibernians 2
1/8-finals
Qormi 2
Birkirkara 1
Gzira 2
Balzan FC 3
St. Andrews 4
Mqabba FC 1
Floriana 0
Lija 1
Valletta 2
Nadur 0
Sannat Lions 0
Rabat Ajax 5
Zebbug 3
Marsaskala FC 0
Gudja 0
Hibernians 4
Quarter-finals
Qormi 1
Balzan FC 0
St. Andrews 0
Lija 1
Valletta 3
Rabat Ajax 0
Zebbug 0
Hibernians 3
Semi-finals
Qormi 1
Lija 0
Valletta 2
Hibernians 3
Final
Qormi 1
Hibernians 3