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Mechal SC vs Shire Endaselassie

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mechal SC play Shire Endaselassie in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mechal SC averaged 1 goals scored and 0.84 conceded. Shire Endaselassie averaged 0.57 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, Mechal SC won 1, Shire Endaselassie won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Apr 3, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Mechal SC and 0.69 for Shire Endaselassie. This points to a Mechal SC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Mechal SC
35%
Draws
27%
Shire Endaselassie
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mechal SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Mechal SC picked up more points recently compared to Shire Endaselassie.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 14%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Mechal SC Clean Sheet 28%
Shire Endaselassie Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 50%
Second Half Goal 52%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mechal SC Shire Endaselassie
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 12 12
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1 0.57
Goals Conceded 0.84 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Premier League
Mechal SC vs Shire Endaselassie
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 Premier League
Shire Endaselassie vs Mechal SC
2:2
May 14, 2025 Premier League
Mechal SC vs Shire Endaselassie
1:1
Jan 10, 2025 Premier League
Shire Endaselassie vs Mechal SC
1:2
May 26, 2019 Premier League
Shire Endaselassie vs Mechal SC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mechal SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Yigzaw A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Shire Endaselassie Compare

Top Goalscorer Dejene T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mechal SC 40 / 100
Shire Endaselassie 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mechal SC Shire Endaselassie

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mechal SC or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +33.4%
5.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mechal SC attacking → ← attacking Shire Endaselassie

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mechal SC scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Shire Endaselassie let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Mechal SC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Shire Endaselassie lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 30
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sidama Bunna381911843:2368
2Negele Arsi Ketema FC381515837:3060
3Mechal SC381415944:3157
4Fasil Kenema3814131128:2855
5Ethio Electric S.C.3813151032:2654
6St. Georges3814121233:3154
7Welayta Dicha381118937:3151
8Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)3813121340:3951
9Hawassa3812141237:3250
10Sheger Ketema FC3811171034:3150
11Bahir Dar Kenema38921828:2848
12Hadiya Hossana3811151231:3548
13Ethiopia Nigd Bank3811141345:4547
14Ethiopian Insurance3810161230:3146
15Adama City3810161235:3946
16Welwalo Adigrat3810161232:3646
17Shire Endaselassie389151424:3242
18Dire Dawa389151427:4142
19Mekelle 70 Enderta FC388161426:3840
20Arba Menche387141730:4635