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Mechelen W vs Standard Liege II W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

1st National Women
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mechelen W host Standard Liege II W in the 1st National Women. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Mechelen W have averaged 1.59 scored and 0.96 conceded recently, against Standard Liege II W's 1.56 scored and 1.78 conceded. Past meetings favor Mechelen W slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.75 - 0.94) back Mechelen W to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Mechelen W
20%
Draws
22%
Standard Liege II W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mechelen W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Mechelen W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Mechelen W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Mechelen W Clean Sheet 20%
Standard Liege II W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mechelen W Standard Liege II W
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 3
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.59 1.56
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 1st National Women
Mechelen W vs Standard Liege II W
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 1st National Women
Standard Liege II W vs Mechelen W
0:1
Mar 1, 2025 1st National Women
Mechelen W vs Standard Liege II W
0:0
Oct 19, 2024 1st National Women
Standard Liege II W vs Mechelen W
1:3
Feb 5, 2022 1st National Women
Standard Liege II W vs Mechelen W
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mechelen W 85 / 100
Standard Liege II W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mechelen W Standard Liege II W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mechelen W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mechelen W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Standard Liege II W conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Mechelen W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mechelen W VS Standard Liege II W
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mechelen W

(Home)
09 Oct
Westerlo W
2 : 1
Mechelen W
03 Oct
Mechelen W
2 : 0
Genk II W
26 Sept
Mechelen W
2 : 0
RFC Liege W
20 Sept
SB Stade Mouscronnois W
2 : 2
Mechelen W
12 Sept
Mechelen W
1 : 1
RSC Anderlecht II W
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Standard Liege II W

(Away)
10 Oct
Genk II W
4 : 1
Standard Liege II W
03 Oct
Standard Liege II W
1 : 5
RSC Anderlecht II W
20 Sept
Club Brugge II W
3 : 0
Standard Liege II W
12 Sept
Standard Liege II W
2 : 1
Femina Woluwe W
05 Sept
Schoonbeek-Beverst W
3 : 0
Standard Liege II W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Schoonbeek-Beverst W 6 4 2 0 10:1 14
2 Leuven II W 6 4 1 1 19:11 13
3 Westerlo W 6 4 1 1 14:10 13
4 RSC Anderlecht II W 6 3 2 1 13:5 11
5 Mechelen W 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
6 Club Brugge II W 5 3 1 1 11:6 10
7 Olsa Brakel W 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
8 Mons W 6 2 2 2 12:9 8
9 Femina Woluwe W 6 2 1 3 11:11 7
10 Waregem 2 2 W 6 2 1 3 8:8 7
11 Damme W 6 2 1 3 7:14 7
12 Herk Sport Hasselt W 6 2 0 4 11:10 6
13 Genk II W 6 2 0 4 10:17 6
14 SB Stade Mouscronnois W 6 1 1 4 8:19 4
15 Standard Liege II W 6 1 0 5 5:18 3
16 Famkes Oostende W 6 0 2 4 2:10 2
Promotion - Super League Women (Main)