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Mechtersheim vs Ahrweiler - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mechtersheim host Ahrweiler in the Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar. This has Mechtersheim written all over it on paper. Ahrweiler have shipped 2.45 goals a game lately, while Mechtersheim have conceded 1.76 and scored 1.93. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 2.19 vs 1.25, favoring Mechtersheim. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Mechtersheim
30%
Draws
23%
Ahrweiler
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mechtersheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ahrweiler haven't matched Mechtersheim's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Mechtersheim's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Mechtersheim Clean Sheet 19%
Ahrweiler Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mechtersheim Ahrweiler
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 3
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.93 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.76 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mechtersheim 85 / 100
Ahrweiler 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mechtersheim Ahrweiler

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mechtersheim Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mechtersheim found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Ahrweiler conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Mechtersheim remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Ahrweiler's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mechtersheim VS Ahrweiler
2.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mechtersheim

(Home)
03 Oct
Worms
2 : 2
Mechtersheim
26 Sept
Mechtersheim
4 : 1
Hertha Wiesbach
19 Sept
TuS Koblenz
2 : 1
Mechtersheim
13 Sept
Mechtersheim
2 : 1
TSV 1881 Gau-Odernheim
09 Sept
RW Wittlich
2 : 5
Mechtersheim
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Ahrweiler

(Away)
04 Oct
Ahrweiler
1 : 1
Pirmasens
26 Sept
Worms
2 : 1
Ahrweiler
18 Sept
Ahrweiler
2 : 1
Rot-Weiss Koblenz
12 Sept
Hertha Wiesbach
2 : 0
Ahrweiler
09 Sept
Ahrweiler
2 : 2
Cosmos Koblenz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mechtersheim 11 7 1 3 28:19 22
2 Schott Mainz 11 5 5 1 24:12 20
3 TSV 1881 Gau-Odernheim 10 6 2 2 23:11 20
4 TuS Koblenz 11 6 2 3 21:17 20
5 Gonsenheim 11 6 1 4 27:14 19
6 Pirmasens 11 5 3 3 30:19 18
7 Engers 11 5 3 3 26:22 18
8 RW Wittlich 10 5 2 3 27:20 17
9 Worms 11 5 2 4 28:22 17
10 Rot-Weiss Koblenz 11 4 5 2 21:16 17
11 Auersmacher 11 5 0 6 21:24 15
12 Emmelshausen-Karbach 11 4 3 4 19:25 15
13 Cosmos Koblenz 11 4 1 6 20:23 13
14 Elversberg II 11 3 4 4 15:20 13
15 Hertha Wiesbach 11 3 3 5 17:26 12
16 Diefflen 11 2 2 7 15:34 8
17 Ahrweiler 11 1 4 6 10:19 7
18 Eisbachtal 11 0 1 10 5:34 1
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Promotion - Play Offs)