Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mechtersheim vs Karbach

Germany Germany

Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Saftig S.
64' Event
Helbig L.
71' Event
Portella G.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2024/2025 game between Mechtersheim and Karbach finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mechtersheim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Mechtersheim
15%
Draws
26%
Karbach
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mechtersheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Karbach haven't matched Mechtersheim's recent run of results.
  • Mechtersheim are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • History favors Karbach here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Mechtersheim Clean Sheet 12%
Karbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mechtersheim Karbach
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.55 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.12 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Mechtersheim vs Karbach
3:1
Oct 19, 2024 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Karbach vs Mechtersheim
3:0
Mar 9, 2024 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Mechtersheim vs Karbach
1:3
Aug 26, 2023 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Karbach vs Mechtersheim
3:0
May 13, 2023 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Karbach vs Mechtersheim
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mechtersheim Compare

Top Goalscorer Helbig L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Portella G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Karbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Saftig S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mechtersheim 83 / 100
Karbach 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mechtersheim Karbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mechtersheim Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Mechtersheim scored in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Karbach's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Mechtersheim went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mechtersheim VS Karbach
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mechtersheim

(Home)
05 Sept
Mechtersheim
4 : 2
Gonsenheim
29 Aug
Auersmacher
0 : 1
Mechtersheim
22 Aug
Mechtersheim
5 : 2
Elversberg II
15 Aug
Pirmasens
2 : 0
Mechtersheim
08 Aug
Mechtersheim
2 : 4
Rot-Weiss Koblenz
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Karbach

(Away)
28 May
Karbach
1 : 2
Rot-Weiss Koblenz
25 May
Auersmacher
4 : 0
Karbach
17 May
Morlautern
0 : 3
Karbach
10 May
Karbach
3 : 3
Diefflen
03 May
Mechtersheim
3 : 1
Karbach
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Schott Mainz 34 29 4 1 117:24 91
2 Kaiserslautern II 34 25 5 4 121:45 80
3 Pirmasens 34 23 9 2 92:27 78
4 TuS Koblenz 34 23 2 9 70:38 71
5 Worms 34 16 7 11 66:59 55
6 Gonsenheim 34 14 9 11 71:58 51
7 Engers 34 14 5 15 63:66 47
8 Rot-Weiss Koblenz 34 12 9 13 56:57 45
9 Arminia Ludwigshafen 34 13 5 16 67:63 44
10 Karbach 34 10 8 16 45:63 38
11 Diefflen 34 9 9 16 61:79 36
12 Idar-Oberstein 34 10 6 18 42:69 36
13 Eisbachtal 34 9 8 17 63:84 35
14 Eppelborn 34 10 4 20 48:97 34
15 Auersmacher 34 9 6 19 57:74 33
16 Mechtersheim 34 8 9 17 39:74 33
17 Viktoria Herxheim 34 10 3 21 45:89 33
18 Morlautern 34 6 4 24 49:106 22
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025 (Promotion)