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Medkila vs Melbo

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 11 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 3 - Group 11 2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Medkila
20%
Draws
16%
Melbo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Medkila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Melbo lately — more wins on the board than Medkila.
  • Medkila are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 11 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Medkila Clean Sheet 20%
Melbo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Medkila Melbo
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 4 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 25 14
Goals Scored 1.06 1.57
Goals Conceded 3.09 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2016 Division 3 - Group 11
Melbo vs Medkila
1:2
Jun 24, 2016 Division 3 - Group 11
Medkila vs Melbo
0:2
Oct 3, 2015 Division 3 - Group 11
Melbo vs Medkila
2:1
Jun 18, 2015 Division 3 - Group 11
Medkila vs Melbo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Medkila 36 / 100
Melbo 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Medkila Melbo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Melbo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Medkila scored in 67% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Melbo lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Melbo
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Medkila

(Home)
08 Oct
Medkila
2 : 5
Mjolner
01 Oct
Melbo
1 : 2
Medkila
23 Sept
Medkila
2 : 4
Sandnessjoen
17 Sept
Sortland
4 : 0
Medkila
10 Sept
Medkila
4 : 4
Stalkam
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Melbo

(Away)
13 Apr
Melbo
0 : 1
Sortland
30 Oct
Melbo
1 : 3
Bodo/Glimt 2
23 Oct
Ullern
4 : 0
Melbo
17 Oct
Melbo
1 : 1
Skeid 2
10 Oct
Nordstrand
3 : 1
Melbo
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