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Medzilaborce vs Velky Saris Prediction & H2H Stats

Slovakia Slovakia

4. liga - East 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 4. liga - East 2025/2026 game between Medzilaborce and Velky Saris finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Medzilaborce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Medzilaborce
20%
Draws
29%
Velky Saris
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Medzilaborce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Medzilaborce come out ahead of Velky Saris on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Medzilaborce taking it.
  • Regular 4. liga - East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • Medzilaborce have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 79%
Over 4.5 Goals 36%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Medzilaborce Clean Sheet 10%
Velky Saris Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Medzilaborce Velky Saris
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 3 6
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 1.62 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.46 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 4. liga - East
Velky Saris vs Medzilaborce
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 4. liga - East
Medzilaborce vs Velky Saris
5:2
Apr 10, 2025 4. liga - East
Medzilaborce vs Velky Saris
4:3
Aug 17, 2024 4. liga - East
Velky Saris vs Medzilaborce
2:2
Apr 28, 2024 4. liga - East
Medzilaborce vs Velky Saris
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Medzilaborce 83 / 100
Velky Saris 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Medzilaborce Velky Saris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Medzilaborce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Velky Saris conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

Medzilaborce scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Medzilaborce remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Medzilaborce VS Velky Saris
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
3.13 Goals Conceded 3.67
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 83%

Recent Form & Match History

Medzilaborce

(Home)
27 Sept
Medzilaborce
2 : 0
Geca
18 Sept
Sobrance-Sobranecko
4 : 2
Medzilaborce
13 Sept
Dvorniky - Vcelare
2 : 2
Medzilaborce
05 Sept
Medzilaborce
4 : 0
FK Kechnec
30 Aug
Zahradne
6 : 0
Medzilaborce
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Velky Saris

(Away)
13 Jun
Velky Saris
1 : 3
Sokol Lubotice
06 Jun
Sobrance-Sobranecko
3 : 3
Velky Saris
30 May
Velky Saris
2 : 3
Cana
23 May
Rudnany
8 : 0
Velky Saris
17 May
Velky Saris
2 : 1
Gerlachov
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