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Medzilaborce vs Velky Saris

Slovakia Slovakia

4. liga - East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Medzilaborce play Velky Saris in the 4. liga - East. Medzilaborce are favorites here. Recently, Medzilaborce averaged 1.73 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. Velky Saris averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.87 conceded. In past meetings, Medzilaborce won 4, Velky Saris won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Medzilaborce and 2.19 for Velky Saris. This points to a Medzilaborce double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Medzilaborce
17%
Draws
24%
Velky Saris
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Medzilaborce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Medzilaborce picked up more points recently compared to Velky Saris.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 2.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 51%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
Medzilaborce Clean Sheet 10%
Velky Saris Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Medzilaborce Velky Saris
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 4 6
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 1.73 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.6 2.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 4. liga - East
Velky Saris vs Medzilaborce
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 4. liga - East
Medzilaborce vs Velky Saris
5:2
Apr 10, 2025 4. liga - East
Medzilaborce vs Velky Saris
4:3
Aug 17, 2024 4. liga - East
Velky Saris vs Medzilaborce
2:2
Apr 28, 2024 4. liga - East
Medzilaborce vs Velky Saris
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Medzilaborce 55 / 100
Velky Saris 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Medzilaborce Velky Saris

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Medzilaborce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Medzilaborce & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.6%
1.96
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.9%
1.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Medzilaborce attacking → ← attacking Velky Saris

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Medzilaborce scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Velky Saris let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

Medzilaborce went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Velky Saris lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 18
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
3.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63