Sport Picks

Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2018/2019

Pinneberg

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Meiendorfer SV play Pinneberg in the Oberliga Hamburg 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Meiendorfer SV averaged 0.97 goals scored and 3.7 conceded. Pinneberg averaged 0.76 goals scored and 6.31 conceded. In past meetings, Meiendorfer SV won 2, Pinneberg won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Dec 1, 2018 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.56 for Meiendorfer SV and 3.13 for Pinneberg. This points to a Meiendorfer SV double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Meiendorfer SV

15%

Draws

34%

Pinneberg

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Meiendorfer SV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Meiendorfer SV picked up more points recently compared to Pinneberg.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.56 vs 3.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 86%

Over 3.5 Goals 52%

Over 4.5 Goals 26%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Meiendorfer SV Clean Sheet 10%

Pinneberg Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 85%

Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Meiendorfer SV	Pinneberg
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	3	1
Draws	3	0
Losses	24	28
Goals Scored	0.97	0.76
Goals Conceded	3.7	6.31
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	4.25	4.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 1, 2018 Oberliga Hamburg

Meiendorfer SV vs Pinneberg

Possession: 45% - 44% Cards: 3 - 1

4:0

Aug 5, 2018 Oberliga Hamburg

Pinneberg vs Meiendorfer SV

Possession: 42% - 48% Cards: 4 - 4

0:4

Apr 9, 2016 Oberliga Hamburg

Meiendorfer SV vs Pinneberg

Possession: 53% - 53% Cards: 4 - 3

0:2

Dec 19, 2015 Oberliga Hamburg

Pinneberg vs Meiendorfer SV

Possession: 46% - 49% Cards: 4 - 1

0:0

Mar 14, 2015 Oberliga Hamburg

Pinneberg vs Meiendorfer SV

Possession: 58% - 51% Cards: 0 - 1

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Meiendorfer SV 48 / 100

Pinneberg 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Meiendorfer SV Pinneberg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Meiendorfer SV or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18.8%

2.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.5%

1.25

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Meiendorfer SV attacking → ← attacking Pinneberg

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Meiendorfer SV scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Pinneberg let in goals in 100% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Meiendorfer SV went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Pinneberg lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 3

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

4.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Altona	34	25	3	6	72:24	78
2	Teutonia Ottensen	34	24	4	6	79:33	76
3	Dassendorf	34	23	2	9	92:30	71
4	SC Victoria Hamburg	34	23	2	9	100:46	71
5	Niendorfer TSV	34	20	4	10	81:39	64
6	Barmbek-Uhlenhorst	34	17	9	8	88:58	60
7	Sasel	34	18	5	11	88:52	59
8	TuS Osdorf	34	15	5	14	68:69	50
9	TSV Buchholz 08	34	14	7	13	73:66	49
10	Suderelbe	34	13	7	14	68:70	46
11	Curslack-Neuengamme	34	12	8	14	61:59	44
12	Rugenbergen	34	12	4	18	63:67	40
13	TSV Concordia	34	11	4	19	56:76	37
14	Meiendorfer SV	34	9	9	16	44:71	36
15	Wedeler	34	8	9	17	51:68	33
16	HEBC Hamburg	34	9	2	23	55:99	29
17	Condor Hamburg	34	8	4	22	59:93	28
18	Pinneberg	34	1	0	33	21:199	3