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Meizhou Hakka vs Nanjing City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

League One Wuhua County Olympic Sports Centre, Meizhou
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Triboulet V.
Assist: Wen Q.
31'
Qurban W.
37'
Hu Rentian

AI Match Summary

Meizhou Hakka in this League One matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Meizhou Hakka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Meizhou Hakka
20%
Draws
0%
Nanjing City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Meizhou Hakka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Meizhou Hakka lately — more wins on the board than Nanjing City.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Meizhou Hakka taking it.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Meizhou Hakka here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Meizhou Hakka Clean Sheet 16%
Nanjing City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Meizhou Hakka Nanjing City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 6
Draws 5 7
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.03 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 League One
Meizhou Hakka vs Nanjing City
2:1
May 9, 2026 League One
Nanjing City vs Meizhou Hakka
2:0
Sep 21, 2021 League One
Meizhou Hakka vs Nanjing City
4:2
Sep 3, 2021 League One
Nanjing City vs Meizhou Hakka
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Meizhou Hakka Compare

Top Goalscorer Triboulet V.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Nanjing City Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngom Mbekeli J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Meizhou Hakka 75 / 100
Nanjing City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Meizhou Hakka Nanjing City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Meizhou Hakka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nanjing City let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Nanjing City's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Meizhou Hakka scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Meizhou Hakka VS Nanjing City
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Meizhou Hakka

(Home)
06 Oct
Dingnan Ganlian
0 : 0
Meizhou Hakka
19 Sept
Meizhou Hakka
1 : 3
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
13 Sept
Meizhou Hakka
2 : 1
Nanjing City
06 Sept
Shenzhen Juniors
5 : 1
Meizhou Hakka
30 Aug
Ningbo Professional
1 : 1
Meizhou Hakka
Page 1 of 6

Nanjing City

(Away)
07 Oct
Nanjing City
1 : 4
Shaanxi Union
19 Sept
Nanjing City
0 : 3
Wuxi Wugou
13 Sept
Meizhou Hakka
2 : 1
Nanjing City
06 Sept
Suzhou Dongwu
2 : 0
Nanjing City
29 Aug
Nanjing City
0 : 2
Guangxi Hengchen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guangdong GZ-Power 25 17 6 2 52:21 57
2 Nantong Zhiyun 25 12 9 4 34:20 45
3 Guangxi Hengchen 25 13 6 6 40:27 45
4 Shenzhen Juniors 25 12 8 5 40:29 44
5 Shaanxi Union 25 11 6 8 42:27 39
6 Yanbian Longding 25 9 9 7 34:28 36
7 Shijiazhuang Gongfu 25 9 7 9 23:25 34
8 Wuxi Wugou 25 9 6 10 38:31 33
9 Changchun Yatai 25 10 4 11 38:41 30
10 Ningbo Professional 25 9 5 11 27:31 29
11 Dalian Kun City 25 7 8 10 30:37 29
12 Suzhou Dongwu 25 7 9 9 30:35 27
13 Dingnan Ganlian 25 4 12 9 35:46 24
14 Meizhou Hakka 25 7 4 14 25:50 22
15 Nanjing City 25 5 6 14 21:37 21
16 Foshan Nanshi 25 3 7 15 25:49 16
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Relegation - League Two 2027 (Main)