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Mekelle 70 Enderta FC vs Ethiopian Insurance

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Nkurunziza A.
84' Event
Adamu B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
22%
Draws
18%
Ethiopian Insurance
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Mekelle 70 Enderta FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Ethiopian Insurance average 1 goals a game right now, well clear of Mekelle 70 Enderta FC's 0.38.
  • Win probability leans Mekelle 70 Enderta FC's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC Clean Sheet 68%
Ethiopian Insurance Clean Sheet 21%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mekelle 70 Enderta FC Ethiopian Insurance
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 9 9
Draws 12 14
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.38 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Premier League
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC vs Ethiopian Insurance
1:1
Jan 5, 2026 Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance vs Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0:1
May 17, 2025 Premier League
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC vs Ethiopian Insurance
0:1
Nov 4, 2024 Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance vs Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mekelle 70 Enderta FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Adamu B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Ethiopian Insurance Compare

Top Goalscorer Nkurunziza A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mekelle 70 Enderta FC 68 / 100
Ethiopian Insurance 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC Ethiopian Insurance

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MEK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ethiopian Insurance has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Mekelle 70 Enderta FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Ethiopian Insurance lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mekelle 70 Enderta FC VS Ethiopian Insurance
0.38 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mekelle 70 Enderta FC

(Home)
01 Jul
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
3 : 0
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
26 Jun
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
3 : 0
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
21 Jun
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 0
Adama City
16 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
0 : 0
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
30 May
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 0
Bahir Dar Kenema
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Ethiopian Insurance

(Away)
01 Jul
Fasil Kenema
1 : 0
Ethiopian Insurance
27 Jun
Ethiopian Insurance
0 : 3
Shire Endaselassie
21 Jun
Mechal SC
1 : 0
Ethiopian Insurance
14 Jun
Ethiopian Insurance
1 : 0
Dire Dawa
30 May
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1
Ethiopian Insurance
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sidama Bunna381911843:2368
2Negele Arsi Ketema FC381515837:3060
3Mechal SC381415944:3157
4Fasil Kenema3814131128:2855
5Ethio Electric S.C.3813151032:2654
6St. Georges3814121233:3154
7Welayta Dicha381118937:3151
8Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)3813121340:3951
9Hawassa3812141237:3250
10Sheger Ketema FC3811171034:3150
11Bahir Dar Kenema38921828:2848
12Hadiya Hossana3811151231:3548
13Ethiopia Nigd Bank3811141345:4547
14Ethiopian Insurance3810161230:3146
15Adama City3810161235:3946
16Welwalo Adigrat3810161232:3646
17Shire Endaselassie389151424:3242
18Dire Dawa389151427:4142
19Mekelle 70 Enderta FC388161426:3840
20Arba Menche387141730:4635
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)