Sport Picks
Melbourne City U21 vs Bentleigh Greens - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
NPL Victoria Casey Fields, Cranbourne East 
Match Events
12'
12'
Matthews R.
45'
45'
Kamara K.
53'
53'
Matthews R.
AI Match Summary
Bentleigh Greens in this NPL Victoria matchup, with the score ending 2-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bentleigh Greens.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bentleigh Greens
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Melbourne City U21 at 1.67 per game, Bentleigh Greens at 1.2.
- Bentleigh Greens are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular NPL Victoria form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Melbourne City U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Bentleigh Greens Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Melbourne City U21 | Bentleigh Greens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 NPL Victoria
Melbourne City U21 vs Bentleigh Greens
2:6
May 8, 2026 NPL Victoria
Bentleigh Greens vs Melbourne City U21
0:7
May 23, 2025 Victoria Premier League
Bentleigh Greens vs Melbourne City U21
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Victoria Premier League
Melbourne City U21 vs Bentleigh Greens
1:0
Jul 27, 2024 Victoria Premier League
Melbourne City U21 vs Bentleigh Greens
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Melbourne City U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Nahom Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mackintosh A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Bentleigh Greens Compare
Top Goalscorer Matthews R.
3 Goals Assists Leader Kamara K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Melbourne City U21 10 / 100
Bentleigh Greens 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Melbourne City U21 Bentleigh Greens
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bentleigh Greens Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.20 goals.
Melbourne City U21's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Bentleigh Greens let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Difficult form: Bentleigh Greens registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Melbourne City U21 VS Bentleigh Greens
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Melbourne City U21
(Home) 29 Aug
Melbourne City U21
1 : 2 Green Gully
22 Aug
Melbourne City U21
2 : 6 Bentleigh Greens
19 Aug
Preston Lions
4 : 0 Melbourne City U21
15 Aug
Melbourne City U21
0 : 3 South Melbourne
01 Aug
Hume City
1 : 0 Melbourne City U21
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Melbourne City U21
1 : 2 Green Gully
22 Aug
Melbourne City U21
2 : 6 Bentleigh Greens
15 Aug
Melbourne City U21
0 : 3 South Melbourne
25 Jul
Melbourne City U21
2 : 3 Avondale FC
11 Jul
Melbourne City U21
2 : 2 Heidelberg Utd
Page 1 of 4
Bentleigh Greens
(Away) 29 Aug
Heidelberg Utd
2 : 0 Bentleigh Greens
22 Aug
Melbourne City U21
2 : 6 Bentleigh Greens
14 Aug
St Albans
1 : 1 Bentleigh Greens
31 Jul
Bentleigh Greens
0 : 0 Oakleigh Cannons
24 Jul
Preston Lions
1 : 0 Bentleigh Greens
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Heidelberg Utd
2 : 0 Bentleigh Greens
22 Aug
Melbourne City U21
2 : 6 Bentleigh Greens
14 Aug
St Albans
1 : 1 Bentleigh Greens
24 Jul
Preston Lions
1 : 0 Bentleigh Greens
11 Jul
Dandenong Thunder
2 : 1 Bentleigh Greens
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oakleigh Cannons | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 56:24 | 54 |
| 2 | Hume City | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 51:36 | 49 |
| 3 | Avondale FC | 26 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 65:34 | 47 |
| 4 | South Melbourne | 26 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 39:36 | 41 |
| 5 | Heidelberg Utd | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 42:34 | 40 |
| 6 | Preston Lions | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 41:19 | 39 |
| 7 | George Cross | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 35:34 | 38 |
| 8 | St Albans | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 36:43 | 34 |
| 9 | Dandenong City SC | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 35:31 | 33 |
| 10 | Melbourne City U21 | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 42:42 | 30 |
| 11 | Altona Magic | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:42 | 28 |
| 12 | Bentleigh Greens | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27:51 | 24 |
| 13 | Green Gully | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23:52 | 18 |
| 14 | Dandenong Thunder | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 23:65 | 15 |
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
