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Melbourne City U21 vs George Cross

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Casey Fields, Cranbourne East
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Mazis L.
24' Event
Baker B.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Victoria game between Melbourne City U21 and George Cross finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Melbourne City U21
20%
Draws
80%
George Cross
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: George Cross

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Melbourne City U21 haven't matched George Cross's recent run of results.
  • George Cross are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NPL Victoria form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Melbourne City U21 Clean Sheet 16%
George Cross Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melbourne City U21 George Cross
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 11
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.67 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 NPL Victoria
George Cross vs Melbourne City U21
1:0
Apr 12, 2026 NPL Victoria
Melbourne City U21 vs George Cross
1:1
Jul 26, 2025 Victoria Premier League
Melbourne City U21 vs George Cross
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 Victoria Premier League
George Cross vs Melbourne City U21
3:6
May 18, 2024 Victoria Premier League
Melbourne City U21 vs George Cross
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Melbourne City U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Baker B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

George Cross Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazis L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melbourne City U21 10 / 100
George Cross 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melbourne City U21 George Cross

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick George Cross Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Melbourne City U21 found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

George Cross has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

George Cross's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Melbourne City U21 VS George Cross
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Melbourne City U21

(Home)
29 Aug
Melbourne City U21
1 : 2
Green Gully
22 Aug
Melbourne City U21
2 : 6
Bentleigh Greens
19 Aug
Preston Lions
4 : 0
Melbourne City U21
15 Aug
Melbourne City U21
0 : 3
South Melbourne
01 Aug
Hume City
1 : 0
Melbourne City U21
Page 1 of 6

George Cross

(Away)
29 Aug
George Cross
1 : 0
South Melbourne
22 Aug
Hume City
3 : 2
George Cross
15 Aug
George Cross
3 : 2
Avondale FC
01 Aug
Altona Magic
1 : 1
George Cross
24 Jul
Heidelberg Utd
0 : 0
George Cross
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oakleigh Cannons 26 16 6 4 56:24 54
2 Hume City 26 15 4 7 51:36 49
3 Avondale FC 26 15 2 9 65:34 47
4 South Melbourne 26 13 2 11 39:36 41
5 Heidelberg Utd 26 11 7 8 42:34 40
6 Preston Lions 26 15 6 5 41:19 39
7 George Cross 26 9 11 6 35:34 38
8 St Albans 26 9 7 10 36:43 34
9 Dandenong City SC 26 10 7 9 35:31 33
10 Melbourne City U21 26 8 6 12 42:42 30
11 Altona Magic 26 7 7 12 28:42 28
12 Bentleigh Greens 26 6 6 14 27:51 24
13 Green Gully 26 4 6 16 23:52 18
14 Dandenong Thunder 26 4 3 19 23:65 15
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)