Sport Picks

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Melbourne City W vs Beleza W

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League Women 2025/2026 Suwon Sports Complex, Suwon
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Shiokoshi Y.
Assist: Matsuda S.
10' Event
Shinjo M.
37' Event
Keane A.

AI Match Summary

Beleza W in this AFC Champions League Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Melbourne City W
22%
Draws
18%
Beleza W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Melbourne City W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Beleza W at 2.5 per game, Melbourne City W at 1.5.
  • Win probability leans Melbourne City W's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Beleza W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Melbourne City W Clean Sheet 68%
Beleza W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melbourne City W Beleza W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 20 20
Draws 4 3
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.5 2.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 AFC Champions League Women
Melbourne City W vs Beleza W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Melbourne City W Compare

Top Goalscorer Keane A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Beleza W Compare

Top Goalscorer Shiokoshi Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Shinjo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melbourne City W 68 / 100
Beleza W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melbourne City W Beleza W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Melbourne City W scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Beleza W let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

Melbourne City W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Melbourne City W VS Beleza W
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Melbourne City W

(Home)
20 May
Melbourne City W
1 : 3
Beleza W
16 May
Melbourne City W
3 : 1
Wellington Phoenix W
09 May
Melbourne City W
1 : 0
Melbourne Victory W
02 May
Melbourne Victory W
0 : 1
Melbourne City W
05 Apr
Newcastle W
1 : 2
Melbourne City W
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Beleza W

(Away)
23 May
Beleza W
0 : 1
Naegohyang W
20 May
Melbourne City W
1 : 3
Beleza W
16 May
Beleza W
2 : 1
Albirex Niigata W
10 May
Urawa W
1 : 0
Beleza W
03 May
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
2 : 0
Beleza W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Melbourne City W2
Nasaf Qarshi W1
Beleza W5
Stallion W0
Naegohyang W3
Ho Chi Minh W0
Wuhan Jiangda W0
Suwon FC W4
Semi-finals
Melbourne City W1
Beleza W3
Naegohyang W2
Suwon FC W1
Final
Beleza W0
Naegohyang W1