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Melhus vs Spjelkavik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Warholm R.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 2 game between Melhus and Spjelkavik finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spjelkavik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Melhus
15%
Draws
28%
Spjelkavik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Melhus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Spjelkavik haven't matched Melhus's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Melhus taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Melhus Clean Sheet 13%
Spjelkavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melhus Spjelkavik
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.22 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.44 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Melhus vs Spjelkavik
0:1
May 14, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Spjelkavik vs Melhus
0:0
Sep 27, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Melhus vs Spjelkavik
3:2
May 31, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Spjelkavik vs Melhus
1:0
Sep 18, 2021 Division 3 - Group 5
Spjelkavik vs Melhus
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Melhus Compare

Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Spjelkavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Warholm R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melhus 48 / 100
Spjelkavik 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melhus Spjelkavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Melhus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spjelkavik has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Melhus found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Spjelkavik registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Melhus VS Spjelkavik
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Melhus

(Home)
02 Oct
Rosenborg 2
1 : 4
Melhus
26 Sept
Melhus
0 : 1
Spjelkavik
20 Sept
Molde 2
1 : 0
Melhus
12 Sept
Melhus
1 : 2
Volda
05 Sept
Herd
1 : 4
Melhus
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Spjelkavik

(Away)
04 Oct
Spjelkavik
2 : 5
Ranheim 2
26 Sept
Melhus
0 : 1
Spjelkavik
21 Sept
Spjelkavik
0 : 4
Rosenborg 2
14 Sept
Aalesund 2
3 : 2
Spjelkavik
05 Sept
Nardo
4 : 2
Spjelkavik
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