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Melhus vs Tynset

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 2021 game between Melhus and Tynset finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Melhus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Melhus
15%
Draws
0%
Tynset
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Melhus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Melhus come out ahead of Tynset on wins alone.
  • Model gives Melhus a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 5 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Melhus Clean Sheet 20%
Tynset Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melhus Tynset
Matches Played 30 15
Wins 15 1
Draws 7 0
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.17 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.4 3.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2021 Division 3 - Group 5
Melhus vs Tynset
3:0
Oct 24, 2020 Division 3 - Group 5
Tynset vs Melhus
0:0
Oct 17, 2020 Division 3 - Group 5
Melhus vs Tynset
0:0
Sep 29, 2018 Division 3 - Group 5
Melhus vs Tynset
0:0
Jun 9, 2018 Division 3 - Group 5
Tynset vs Melhus
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melhus 85 / 100
Tynset 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melhus Tynset

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Melhus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Melhus scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Tynset has conceded goals in 100% of their last 15 outings.

Away concern: Tynset has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Melhus VS Tynset
2.5 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Melhus

(Home)
12 Sept
Melhus
1 : 2
Volda
05 Sept
Herd
1 : 4
Melhus
30 Aug
Melhus
0 : 1
Strindheim
22 Aug
Melhus
0 : 3
Stjordals Blink
15 Aug
Nardo
1 : 3
Melhus
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Tynset

(Away)
22 Aug
Tynset
0 : 3
Trygg/Lade
30 Oct
Orkla
7 : 3
Tynset
23 Oct
Tynset
0 : 3
Spjelkavik
17 Oct
Melhus
3 : 0
Tynset
09 Oct
Tynset
1 : 3
Byasen
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