Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Melhus vs Verdal

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Troen T.
61' Event
Ramlo M.
69' Event
Hegerberg I.

AI Match Summary

Melhus in this Division 3 - Group 4 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Melhus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Melhus
20%
Draws
0%
Verdal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Melhus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Melhus lately — more wins on the board than Verdal.
  • Win probability leans Melhus's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
  • History favors Melhus here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Melhus Clean Sheet 17%
Verdal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melhus Verdal
Matches Played 36 28
Wins 22 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2.86 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.47 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Melhus vs Verdal
4:0
May 11, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Verdal vs Melhus
1:4
Oct 26, 2019 Division 3 - Group 5
Melhus vs Verdal
1:0
Apr 27, 2019 Division 3 - Group 5
Verdal vs Melhus
2:3
Oct 6, 2018 Division 3 - Group 5
Verdal vs Melhus
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Melhus Compare

Top Goalscorer Troen T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ramlo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Verdal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melhus 84 / 100
Verdal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melhus Verdal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Melhus found the back of the net in 92% of recent matches (36 games).

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Verdal's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Verdal has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Melhus VS Verdal
2.5 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 10
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Melhus

(Home)
08 Aug
Melhus
8 : 3
Orkla
03 Aug
FK Kvik
1 : 1
Melhus
25 Jul
Melhus
2 : 0
Herd
25 Jun
Strindheim
2 : 1
Melhus
19 Jun
Melhus
1 : 1
Rosenborg 2
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Verdal

(Away)
24 Jan
Levanger
10 : 1
Verdal
13 Apr
Verdal
0 : 8
Levanger
27 Oct
Verdal
1 : 6
Nardo
20 Oct
Melhus
4 : 0
Verdal
05 Oct
Verdal
1 : 3
Tiller
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