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Stadium Background

Melilla B vs Union Estepona CF

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2013/2014
Melilla B Logo

Melilla B

Sun, Dec 29, 2013
2 - 0
12:00 PM
Union Estepona CF Logo

Union Estepona CF

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Melilla B host Union Estepona CF in the Tercera Division - Group 9 2013/2014. Melilla B are expected to control this from the start. Melilla B have averaged 1.09 scored and 0.85 conceded recently, against Union Estepona CF's 0.33 scored and 2.1 conceded. Head-to-head, Melilla B have won 3 to Union Estepona CF's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on May 11, 2014, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.10 - 0.88) back Melilla B to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Melilla B
15%
Draws
0%
Union Estepona CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Melilla B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Melilla B come out ahead of Union Estepona CF on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Melilla B taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Melilla B Clean Sheet 20%
Union Estepona CF Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Melilla B Union Estepona CF
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 13 2
Draws 9 1
Losses 12 27
Goals Scored 1.09 0.33
Goals Conceded 0.85 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Union Estepona CF vs Melilla B
0:2
Dec 29, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Melilla B vs Union Estepona CF
2:0
Feb 9, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Union Estepona CF vs Melilla B
2:2
Sep 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Melilla B vs Union Estepona CF
1:0
Feb 11, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Melilla B vs Union Estepona CF
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Melilla B 85 / 100
Union Estepona CF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Melilla B Union Estepona CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Melilla B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Union Estepona CF conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Union Estepona CF's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Melilla B scored in 65% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Melilla B VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Melilla B

(Home)
10 May
Huetor Tajar
3 : 1
Melilla B
06 May
Melilla B
0 : 0
Motril
25 Apr
Melilla B
5 : 1
Martos
19 Apr
Mijas Las Lagunas
4 : 1
Melilla B
11 Apr
Melilla B
0 : 1
Marbelli
Page 1 of 7

Union Estepona CF

(Away)
11 May
Union Estepona CF
0 : 2
Melilla B
04 May
Maracena
2 : 0
Union Estepona CF
01 May
AD Huercal
2 : 0
Union Estepona CF
27 Apr
Union Estepona CF
0 : 2
Huetor Tajar
06 Apr
Union Estepona CF
0 : 2
Atarfe Industrial
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marbella 38 27 5 6 81:37 86
2 Linares 38 24 10 4 70:28 82
3 Malaga B 38 25 7 6 74:34 82
4 Loja 38 24 7 7 88:44 79
5 Mancha 38 22 6 10 51:31 72
6 Velez 38 19 10 9 60:31 67
7 Martos 38 17 9 12 65:49 60
8 Villacarrillo 38 16 11 11 63:46 59
9 Huetor Tajar 38 14 11 13 36:42 53
10 Atarfe Industrial 38 14 8 16 48:49 50
11 Maracena 38 15 4 19 44:44 49
12 Espanol Alquian 38 14 7 17 58:71 49
13 Antequera 38 12 8 18 43:54 44
14 UD San Pedro 38 11 11 16 34:54 44
15 CD Ronda 38 12 7 19 48:58 43
16 Los Molinos CF 38 12 7 19 52:64 43
17 Los Villares 38 12 6 20 36:55 42
18 Melilla B 38 11 7 20 44:66 40
19 AD Huercal 38 4 1 33 29:106 13
20 Union Estepona CF 38 2 4 32 16:77 10
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)